Sunday, April 18, 2021

Blog Entry Delayed, Not Denied: A Flagler Beach Rainy Sunday-in-April Posting -OR- Undeniable: Even the Forecast Offices Know That New NWS Main Site Radar Presentation Sucks, Is Useless

Raining morning view, Flagler-by-the-Sea trailer park, Flagler Beach, Fla., 10:48 a.m., April 18, 2021

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Christ, the entry I've been trying to write is taking forever for me to complete and post. I'm now on my third day of trying to do it. What's more, I had one of my aural migraines earlier this morning light striations that made it hard to compose this entry.

In lieu of that, I am posting an upfront weather-themed entry before the main one.


The weather is noteworthy because earlier this gray-gloomy, coolish-by-Florida-standards day, it was again deluging with rain as a frickin' monsoon-like pattern has set up and is forecasted to remain in place through Wednesday in this part of Florida.


Ironically, it had been quite dry in this part of Florida so far this year -- or rather, around Daytona Beach and more or less normal up toward Jacksonville, so perhaps somewhat below normal here in Flagler County. Regardless, this fucking monsoon decided to happen precisely during the six-day period that I am up from my new Miami Beach residence and here.

Repeatedly, rain has noisily pounded on the trailer ceiling and the tiny porch, carport, and shed.

I should point out the way the main NWS ASOS spots are spaced out with their rain gauges -- and the fact that the Flagler County Airport's rain gauge doesn't seem to be working well -- will suggest that it didn't rain much the past two days. (As for what's known as the CoCoRaHS network, while I don't know how it lays out here, I'm sure there are enough sites to pick up the heavy rainfall band.)

Well, since I'm talking about the weather, I have decided to include the weather part of the entry I've been trying to complete the past two days ...

It's a stormy night here in this part of coastal Flagler County.


Above and below: NWS high-resolution surface map for a portion of the Southeastern CONUS at 21Z April 17, 2021 (above) and 12Z April 18, 2021 (below).


There has been drenching rain with repeated bouts of storms as clusters of thunderstorms riding along a quasi-stationary boundary draped east-west across this part of Atlantic-side north-central Florida, as shown on radar imagery.

Radar image for Atlantic-side of north central Florida around 8:30 p.m. EDT April 17, 2021

*******

About the radar, I discovered the Nation Weather Service (NWS) Aviation Weather site that includes detailed, zoomable, loopable radar presentations for anywhere in the U.S. As a practical matter, this makes up for the loss of any useful radar imagery on the NWS Forecast Office (NWSFO) sites once the NWS to its new online radar presentation system which, let's face it, sucks.


Above and below: Jacksonville (KJAX) NWS radar -- co-located, based on the radar abbreviation -- at the Jacksonville (JAX) NWSFO -- at 2351 UTC (7:51 p.m. EDT) April 17, 2021 and 0307 UTC April 18, 2021 (11:07 p.m. April 17, 2021:


It's hard to believe all that effort was put into something so unusable. Actually, no, it isn't. This is a very typical U.S. Government agency sort of outcome.

And you know it's a crap presentation because in a high-impact event -- such as tonight -- certain NWSFOs will embed the regional Aviation Weather radar mosaic. For instance, that's what JAX NWSFO (temporarily) has done tonight.


Others -- such as Melbourne (MLB) -- have simply repackaged the radar presentation using what looks like GrADS. Of course, Sterling (LWX NWSFO) would NEVER do that because that would be admitting a mistake and that it will never do. Being in the National Capital region and incorporating everything politically, socio-culturally, and generationally wrong about it, LWX is far-and-away the most insufferably we-make-no-mistakes self-righteous of the NWSFOs.


Above and below: Recent loops of the NWS/WPC/NDFD forecast of the U.S. surface weather map looped in six or 12 hour increments showing main weather features and isobars and precipitaiton by type and likelihood.

Anyway, the weather here looks to be stormy for the next three days with only occasional, mostly morning sunny spells, although today had no morning sunny spell. Highs around 75°F, lows around 63°F.

As for today, I'm not really doing much. My 80-year old dad -- a day after his second Moderna Covid vaccine shot -- is busily working in the step-down construction workroom, or whatever its called.


OK, I'm concluding this entry -- finally completed on the little porch of my dad's trailer -- and I'm going to try to post one and possibly two more entries today / tonight (depending on if I break up the large entry now in draft into two smaller ones).

This entry backlog is really getting on my goddamn nerves. And assuming I can get everything posted I want to post, the entry after those won't be until late in the week or even possibly next weekend.

--Regulus

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