Thursday, October 4, 2018

Thursday Night Posting (Unavoidably Delayed to Saturday Afternoon) with Inferior and Superior Fall Weather Update -OR- Itchy Gitche Gumee and Mitch "The Bitch" McConnell Shitty

Pumpkins on a flight of outdoor steps in Georgetown, Washington, D.C., 7:30 pm Sept 30, 2018

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As an update before I even post it, this entry was supposed to be posted late Thursday night -- but I hadn't quite finished it and then I didn't get a chance to finalize it until Saturday early evening. I initially momentarily posted it on Thursday so it would have a 10/4/2018 time-stamp.

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Home at this late hour.

I'm watching Perry Mason, specifically, "The Case of the Hesitant Hostess."

Perry Mason -- a drama from the lost world of the early 1960s but embodying the values of 1950s America --regularly featured people being piss-ass drunk as a trope for whatever murder and related bit of mayhem followed -- and that the eponymous attorney played by the great Raymond Burr had to resolve.

I'm back from the gym, where I went three times this week.

However, it no longer seems to matter since I'm more or less back to the weight I was in mid-2012.

That is, my weight has climbed into the mid-to-upper 170s in poundage -- within 10 pounds of what I was in June 2012. However, the weight is reapportioned somewhat differently -- and I don't look facially fat the way I did then. I'd guestimate there is about 20-pounds apportioned differently -- muscle versus fat, so that's the difference.

However, much like a blubbery seal, I still carry a sort all-body-over layer of fat that jiggles and is a symptom of middle aged decline.


However, I don't want to go on too much about this because fat and failure laced with passivity-based poverty IMMEDIATELY attracts the BIG M'EYEMAH back to me. See image directly above for us in our state of American suburban ghetto or rural trailer park bliss.

Yours truly in my apartment, Washington, D.C., 6:25 pm Oct 1, 2018

I'm soon to move from this apartment into another one in the same building.

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I should point out that I am nearly 49 years old, not 29 years old. There is only so much I can do -- and I'm also fighting against a certain body morphology that includes being so goddamn short (5'6").

Besides, I'm not trying to impress any shitty, sorority girl-vicious gay men of the Millennial generation sort, nor could I give a fuck about my generational "cohort" of Gen X assholes. This includes the once-pretty but now-revolting ones (yes, this includes the M-WADE and W-TRASH sort) in the gassy old "gayborhood."

A rowhouse along (I think) Q Street NW in Georgetown, Washington, D.C., evening, Sept 30, 2018

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Turning to the dumb-ass weather (again, this was for Thursday)…

The weather was un-fall-like disgusting today with hot sunshine and way too high humidity. Highs were in the 87F to 90F range -- KDCA proper managed to touch 90F, bringing the number of 90F+ days this season to 45 versus an average of 34.

KIAD climbed to 89F (just shy of a daily record high) and KBWI reached 88F. As for KDMH (at the Inner Harbor of the failed city of Baltimore), it also reached 90F.

Likewise, there were some other regional locales across Virginia that reached or surpassed the 90F mark such as Charlottesville (KCHO) and Culpeper (KCJR), reaching 90F and 91F, respectively.

Dew points flirted with 70F (i.e., the threshold for "oppressive") much of the day.

There were some brief, heavy thunderstorms this evening in the Baltimore area -- KBWI recorded 0.19 inches of rainfall and KDMH 0.10 inches -- but nothing in the immediate D.C. area. Looking ahead, cooler weather is forecasted for tomorrow -- highs only about 75F and less humid -- but then it is forecasted to warm up again to the 80F (which really means 85F) by early next week.

There really isn't any cool down or "autumnal" weather in sight for at least the next 10 days. There IS the potential of another tropical system -- Michael -- in the Gulf of Mexico that could impact the Southeastern U.S. in about a week. 

NWS DIX radar in standard base reflectivity mode looped 12:30 am - 1:06 am EDT Oct 3, 2018

Directly above and below the NWS radar at Fort Dix (DIX), New Jersey the other night as a line of strong thunderstorms blew threw the New York City area and the northern half of New Jersey. Above is in base reflectivity mode and the bottom in composite mode.

NWS DIX radar in standard base reflectivity mode looped 12:30 am - 1:01 am EDT Oct 3, 2018

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Continuing with the weather, here is some interesting weather from yesterday, excerpted a bit, NOT from around here …

The Marquette NWS (MQT) county warning area (CWA) weather advisories as of 6:26 pm EDT Oct 3, 2018

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The accompanying NWS bulletin including the following:

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE STORM WARNING...Expect sustained winds of up to 37 knots from the northwest, with gusts up to 48 knots. The largest expected significant waves will be 17 feet with a maximum wave height of up to 25 feet possible.

* WIND AND WAVES DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...Expect sustained winds of up to 22 knots from the south, with gusts up to 29 knots. The largest expected significant waves will be 5 feet with a maximum wave height of up to 7 feet possible.

Giant waves batter the rugged coastline of Lake Superior in October last year

October is the time of year when the first big gales of the season strike Lake Superior … Edmund Fitzgerald time, although I think that was in November.

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Since I mentioned it and really like it , here is Gordon Lightfoot's "Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald"(with lyrics and tribute to the 29 men who died) …



"Does any one know where the love of God goes / When the waves turn the minutes to hours? / The searches all say they'd have made Whitefish Bay / If they'd put fifteen more miles behind her / They might have split up or they might have capsized / They may have broke deep and took water / And all that remains is the faces and the names / Of the wives and the sons and the daughters …"

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PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or occurring. Recreational boaters should remain in port, or take shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions, and consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds and waves subside.


"Lake Huron rolls, Superior sings / In the rooms of her ice-water mansion / Old Michigan steams like a young man's dreams / The islands and bays are for sportsmen / And farther below Lake Ontario / Takes in what Lake Erie can send her."

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A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 22 to 33 knots are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft. Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

Another image of stormy Lake Superior sending waves battering into a jetty; photo released by the Marquette Police Department, Oct 2017

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This upper Great Lakes weather was associated with a powerful cold frontal passage -- the same front, significantly weakened, now approaching the mid-Atlantic.

NWS high-resolution surface weather map for a portion of the eastern United States valid 0Z Oct 5, 2018

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An attendant deep low pressure -- now centered over northern Quebec (see image directly below) -- was associated with an early season major snowstorm in parts of the Canadian prairie provinces including Calgary, Alberta, where 12+ inches fell.

NWS high-resolution surface weather map for a portion of eastern Canada valid 0Z Oct 5, 2018 

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The first heavy snowstorm of the year partially buries parked cars in Kananaskis, Alberta, morning Oct 3, 2018

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Conversely -- and associated in a highly elongated Rossby wave train -- there is a massive ridge over northern Alaska that is bringing an extended period of unseasonably warm and dry weather to much of the state. The strength and durability of this ridge is directly associated with ongoing anthropogenic climate change in the Arctic and sub-Arctic as sea ice vanishes.

Color-coded 500-hPa geopotential heights averaged for the first five days of October 2018 over Alaska and a portion of the Arctic Ocean.

This shows image the massive ridge centered north of Utqiaġvik (formerly Barrow), Alaska. This is a freakishly strong ridge as the image below indicates:

Climatological percentiles for the 500-hPa height anomalies over the Northern Hemisphere at 0Z 10/01/2018 (from the operational GFS) compared to the 1979 - 2017 CFSR 3-week average.

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A tweet from Peter Stanton of Ketchikan, Alaska, noting the freakishly "nice" weather, Oct 1, 2018.

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NWS Pacific Southwest sector composite radar mosaic looped 2028 - 2138 UTC Oct 3, 2018

This system followed closely a weakening tropical system -- former Hurricane Rosa -- that came into the Baja and brought heavy rains to Arizona. In the end, though, Southern California received virtually no rainfall. Only Santa Monica recorded a tiny bit of measurable rainfall.

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A fountain at Washington Harbour, Georgetown, Washington, D.C., Sept 30, 2018

It's, like, a big fucking crime to touch the water in this fountain.

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As a brief forward-looking update, for the next few days …

My mom is visiting tomorrow (Friday) and staying until Saturday (at a hotel near Union Station). I'm taking off the afternoon. For Saturday, I'm supposed to meet my old meteorology grad school friend Mike. As for Sunday and Monday (the Columbus, Er, Indigenous Peoples Day Holiday), I don't have any specific plans.

Blogging will be light for the next several days, although I'll try to update the blog at least once and maybe twice. 

Rowhouses in Georgetown, Washington, D.C., evening Sept 30, 2018

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OK, as I noted at the top, I didn't really finish this entry until Saturday midafternoon. In order to bring everything back to the present, I was going to try to post another entry to include a discussion about how my Friday turned out -- basically, crappy -- and maybe post an update on the Kavanaugh spectacle.

About the latter, and despite all the noisy protests on Capitol Hill, the ugly passion play has come to a merciful end this afternoon with a predictable GOP victory and much media circle-jerking about the Trump "win" and how suddenly "energized" is the GOP "base" -- a comfortable storyline and trope for the nihilistic D.C. political media class.


I mean, was there ever the slightest doubt that Mitch McConnell wouldn't "win" this? Every face-to-face Capitol Hill political contest ends this way because the system is rigged by Republicans (and structurally) to ensure Republican victories. As for the midterms, we have the odd outcome that this makes a Democratic House more likely while probably ensuring the GOP holds onto the Senate 51-49.


The only other good thing to come out of this is to turn Mitch "The Bitch" McConnell, a.k.a., Mr. Elaine Chao, into an eternal object of hatred on the left -- although, I should point out, that ancient, sclerotic, amoral, reptilian piece of shit gets off on that. As for Trump, he'll be back by tomorrow to picking fights with his infinite list of enemies in order to create frenetic media coverage of him. This is the only way he can function as a living organism.

What I mean is, he never really "enjoys" any of his victories because he's psychopathologically incapable of that..


On a personal note, I've had to hear the Vice Presidential motorcade go by twice in the past hour -- Mike "Piece of Shit" Pence had his lazy, fascist gameshow host ass carted down to the Capitol in case he was needed for a tie-breaker, he that wasn't needed thanks to a completely predicable outcome. However, as I'm supposed to meet Mike G in an hour or so, I'll refrain from any additional entries today.

My next planned update will be in a day or two.

--Regulus

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