Wednesday, March 7, 2018

D.C. Snow Joke 2018 -OR- Another Nor'easter of Note for New York and All Points Northeastward (UPDATED WITH SNOWFALL TOTALS)

Updated at 2:18AM 3/9/2018 with selected snow totals: See bottom of entry.

Screenshot (or frame-grab) of a burst of heavy snowfall in New York City, March 7, 2018.

The image comes from a 9-second video clip by Twitter user Carolina McCarthy that appeared in the main CWG entry about the storm (linked below). I'm unsure where in New York City this was taken. Thunder is audible in the clip -- meaning it was as genuine thundersnow episode.

Midafternoon view on Staten Island, March 7, 2018.

This is a screenshot from a video by Kal Tellefsen and featured in the same CWG entry linked below. I should ask my friend BKinNYC what he is seeing fall. My cousin Tony in Long Branch, N.J., said it was raining but had turned to a sloppy snow. That was several hours ago.

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This is an entry to note that YET ANOTHER nor'easter is striking the Jersey shore and New York City area -- and is forecasted to move up into coastal New England -- while completely missing the D.C. area.

Now there's a shock.

Northeastern U.S. sector radar mosaic looped between 1:45PM and 2:30PM EST March 7, 2018 as prettied up by Weather Underground with precipitation type differentiated (blue being snow).

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Following its odd naming convention, the Weather Channel is calling this one "Winter Storm Quinn." This confuses me since "Winter Storm Riley" occurred last week, and so I'm not sure why this one is the preceding name -- unless it was named before it, but I don't see how that works ... or unless they are going in reverse order in the alphabet. Regardless, it is not a NWS naming convention.

Northeastern U.S. sector radar mosaic looped between 2:30PM and 3:15PM EST March 7, 2018 as prettied up by Weather Underground with precipitation type differentiated (blue being snow).

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Regardless, "Winter Storm Quinn" is not nearly as powerful as "Winter Storm Riley" in terms of pressure gradients and wind fields, but it is energetic in its own right with very heavy snowfall rates and thundersnow in the New York City area as I write this. There are, as of yet, no blizzard warnings.

NWS Mt. Holly/Philadelphia (PHI) county warning area (CWA) weather advisories updated as of 3:49PM EST March 7, 2018.

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New York City is forecasted to get 8 to 12 inches of snow but as much as 24 inches could fall about 50 miles to the west and north of the city. Several hours ago, it didn't even look like anything would happen as it had been light rain and snow mixed with temps between 34F and 37F, but suddenly, all the dynamics and thermodynamics just came together favorably in a way that almost never happens in the D.C. area.

Snowfall amounts for different NWS forecast offices for this winter storm:

NWS Mt. Holly/Philadelphia (PHI) CWA snowfall total forecast for March 7, 2018.

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NWS New York / Upton (OKX) CWA snowfall total forecast for March 7, 2018.

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NWS Boston / Taunton (BOX) CWA nowfall total forecast for March 7 - 8, 2018.

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The Capital Weather Gang has this entry about the storm that it is updating throughout the day. I won't give the entry title since it is likely to change. This is the main entry to which I refer at other points in this entry.

Some additional radar imagery:

NWS Fort Dix (DIX) radar in standard base reflectivity mode looped 12:19PM - 1:07PM EST March 7, 2018.

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NWS Fort Dix (DIX) radar in standard base reflectivity mode looped 2:29PM - 3:03PM EST March 7, 2018.

The system is winding up while moving away rather quickly. The whole thing should be wrapped up for the NYC area around 7 or 8PM -- but not before dropping 2+ feet of snow in places. The radar loop indicates a comma head is developing on the system.

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NWS DIX radar showing super-resolution reflectivity on the left side and precipitation depiction on the right side at 3:39PM EST March 7, 2018 on the back edge of the storm where is the most intense band of snowfall.

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NWS Sterling (LWX) radar in standard base reflectivity mode looped 2:34PM - 3:09PM EST March 7, 2018.

Here you can plainly see how the D.C. area gets diddlysquat shit. Thank You, Lord. Love Ya.

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Here is this morning's radiosonde skew-T diagram at 12Z March 7, 2018 showing a narrow layer of warm air at the surface but cold, deep moisture everywhere else.

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GOES East satellite image taken at or around 2111UTC (2:11PM EST) March 7, 2018.

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As for that diddlysquat shit, it's cloudy today, temps around 45F and nothing. Last night, what would become this energetic nor'easter passed through the region with some rain that turned to snow -- and, in fact, there was 1 to 4 inches of snow in the Baltimore area.

Scene inside the District Commons bar, Washington, D.C., 9:56PM March 6, 2018.

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In the D.C. area, there was trace to an inch. Amazingly, KDCA itself managed to record 0.4 inches -- bringing its seasonal total to a still-underwhelming 3.7 inches.

Its seasonal snowfall is still behind multiple cities across the Southern U.S. including Baton Rouge, La. (4.0 inches), Atlanta, Ga. (4.7 inches), Charleston, S.C., (5.3 inches), and Jackson, Miss. (5.9 inches). Nice.

KIAD only had a trace, so its seasonal total held at 6.6 inches, while KBWI recorded 1.8 inches, which brought its seasonal total to 10.5 inches.

The view at 17th and Q St NW, Washington, D.C., last night around 930PM; image by Aaron Landry and reposted in CWG entry linked below.

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The CWG had this entry featuring scenes of last night's snowfall: Here's how much snow fell Tuesday night around Washington (Photos).

(This entry isn't about a dynamic weather event, so the title should remain fixed.)

Another picture taken at the District Commons bar, Washington, D.C., 9:56PM March 6, 2018.

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There was a period of moderate, wet snow even in D.C. as I walked back from Foggy Bottom to my apartment in 16th and U NW. I met my coworker friend for dinner and drinks at Circa DC and then I stopped in for a bit at District Commons at Washington Circle.

We have another chance of this bullshit nothing on Sunday into Monday with yet another coastal storm. This one promises to be even bigger bullshit. Here is the CWG entry: There is potential for a significant Mid-Atlantic storm Sunday and Monday.

How many times to we have to go to this rodeo? Well, the winter season is practically over.

1600 block New Hampshire Ave NW, Washington, D.C., 11:22PM March 6, 2018.

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Honestly, I'm not even that crazy about having a big snowstorm here in D.C. It causes all kinds of difficulties walking -- when you live in the city and walk a lot, you live and die by sidewalks and sidewalk closures. As it melts, it's a disgusting mess - not a winter wonderland. And there is always the deep vexation of what KDCA will "officially" report -- usually something offensively low.

Changing subjects, this is funny ...

An anti-Trump sign involving the type of "pea" (pee) that he supposedly likes; U and 16th St NW, Washington, D.C., 11:32PM March 6, 2018.

Someone has been placing these anti-Trump stickers all around the Dupont, Logan, and Shaw neighborhoods for months now. Even in D.C. -- where it is, like, 98% liberal Democrat -- they eventually get torn off / removed. This individual does not appear to be the same as the one spray painting "Fuck Trump" on every available surface. That person has a sort of curly artistic style that has a hint of the style of the late, legendary street graffiti artist whose "tag" was his most famous art: Cool "Disco" Dan.

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Blizzard at Sourland Mountain, N.J., March 7, 2018.

This is a screenshot of a video by Spencer Cutter, who wrote there is a foot on the ground and another foot to go. It is featured in the main CWG entry on the storm linked above.

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As for tonight, I am again skipping the gym -- I'll go tomorrow night. I need to finish two versions of a memo from the head of the company to go out to all staff and clients. I'll probably stay at the office until 8PM and then get dinner at Post Pub or perhaps Harry's before walking home.

Naturally, there won't be any weather issues to consider. OK, that's all for now. My next planned entry will be late tomorrow (Thursday) or Friday.

UPDATED 2:18AM 3/9/2018

Here is a map of snowfall totals from the winter storm discussed in this entry between 7AM EST March 6th and 7AM EST March 8th. Keep in mind that it was still snowing at this time across parts of New England where there were totals in Vermont up to 3 feet.

Amounts varied widely with the immediate New York City area receiving, on average, between 2 and 3 inches -- much less than the 8 to 12 inches forecasted -- while parts of interior northern New Jersey had totals of 2 to 2.5 feet, although the Jersey shore only had a few slushy inches (Long Branch, Asbury Park) to "trace" (Cape May).

For the main climate stations:


KORH: 16.4 inches
KBOS: 6.4 inches
KPHI: 6.1 inches
KEWR: 4.6 inches
KABE: 3.4 inches
KNYC: 3.2 inches
KJFK: 2.8 inches
KACY: 2.5 inches
KPVD: 2.3 inches
KBWI: 1.8 inches
KLGA: 1.7 inches
KDCA: 0.4 inches
KIAD: Trace

For select other locations:

Woodford, VT: 36.0 inches
Kinnelon, NJ: 31.0 inches
Londonderry, VT: 30.0 inches
Warren, CT: 28.0 inches
Wilmington, VT: 27.0 inches
New Fairfield, CT: 26.8 inches
Monroe, NY: 26.0 inches
Newtown, CT: 24.3 inches
Becket, MA: 23.3 inches
North Cadwell, NJ: 23.0 inches
Sunapee, NH: 18.0 inches
Richboro, PA: 16.0 inches
Bel Air, MD: 3.0 inches
Annapolis, MD: 2.0 inches

And there you have it.

End of Update and of Entry

--Regulus

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