Saturday, October 7, 2017

Saturday Evening Post for October 7th, 2017: Dueling Seasons and Reasons

**This entry was posted October 7th, 2017.** 

Halloween decorations in the yard of a house in the 1600 block of 16th Street NW, Washington, D.C., 10:28PM October 7, 2017.

This is the yard of the house in the 1600 block of 16th Street NW. The rich, gay, Republican guy who owns regularly decorates his yard lavishly for all sort of holidays including Christmas. I've previously mistaken the house and yard for the rectory of the next door Church of The Holy City - National Swedenborgian Church


This is a brief Saturday evening post. I'm not going to bother posting a full entry since nobody bothers to read these entries. Besides, I'm just tired of posting entries.

Mobile NWS (MOB) radar in standard composite mode looped 9:22PM - 10:05PM CDT October 7, 2017.


The (eyeless) center of Hurricane Nate came ashore a few hours ago at the Mouth of the Mississippi River as a category 1 tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 85 MPH. The storm is irregular with nearly all the convection / rain bands on the east side of it.

Southern Mississippi River Valley sector composite radar mosaic looped 0138 - 0238 UTC October 8, 2017.


The storm was (is) moving so quickly -- about 20 MPH at the time of landfall, making it one of the fastest moving Gulf of Mexico tropical cyclones on record -- that it really didn't have time to intensify into a major hurricane despite sea surface and atmospheric conditions favorable for intensification. Thus, storm surge flooding aside, this should not be on par with Harvey, Irma, or Maria. 

NHC advisory no. 15 infographic with 5-day cone for Hurricane Nate, issued 10PM CDT October 7, 2017.


The center of the low is forecasted to move around the periphery of the entrenched western Atlantic ridge and get caught up in the westerlies on a path that will take it to a position over West Virginia by 7AM Monday and as a post/extratropical low over southern New York state by 7PM Monday (see above NHC infographic map).

Observed and normal year-to-date and season-to-date* precipitation for the main climate stations in the Sterling (LWX) county warning area.

*Fall season-to-date since September 1st.


The tropical moisture from the system is SUPPOSED to reach the mid-Atlantic region -- including here in the D.C. area -- by tomorrow, bringing an end to the goddamn 24-day rainless stretch at KDCA.

Beyond that, though, the ridge isn't really going to break down and instead the Trumpizoidal circus with wall-to-wall GOP rule will continue uninterrupted with all the shit that that entails. 

5-day QPF totals for the Lower 48 issued by NWS/NCEP/WPC valid 0Z Oct. 8, 2017 to 0Z Oct. 13, 2017 issued 2054Z Oct. 7, 2017.


Hopefully, though, we will get a decent deluge of rainfall, but it won't shock me if we don't. We don't get "weather" in Washington.

I went to the gym earlier today and while I got in weightlifting, a core workout, and a swim, I just couldn't do much of a goddamn treadmill jog. I'm home now -- having made dinner and done several loads of laundry -- watching the Super Sci-Fi Saturday Night lineup on MeTV.

The Svengoolie-hosted movie was the 1971 thriller Duel about a man being pursued through the remote desert roads of Southern California by a psychotic truck driver. Driving a beat-up 1955 Peterbilt 281 tanker truck, the driver is never actually seen.

I've seen the movie before but never from the start -- and not this theatre release version (but instead the TV movie version). It stars the late Dennis Weaver.

The never-seen truck driver was the professional stunt driver Carey Loftin.

Right now, I'm watchin Star Trek: TOS, specifically, "The Alternative Factor" episode.

The intersection of V and 15th Streets (looking west down V Street) NW, Washington, D.C., 7:13PM October 7, 2017.


For tomorrow, I'm going on the MARC train to meet my mom for lunch and then return in the early evening. Monday is the Indigenous Peoples, er, Columbus Day federal holiday.

Sidewalk, 1500 block of V Street NW, Washington, D.C., 7:13PM October 7, 2017.

Owing to the layout of V Street between 15th and 16th Streets and the way New Hampshire Ave bisects it, there are really no residential addresses in the 1500 block of V Street NW.


OK, that's all for now. My next planned entry is for late Tuesday. A truncated Jukebox Saturday Night to follow momentarily ...


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