Monday, October 29, 2012

Hurricane Sandy Arrives -OR- A Weather Day to Remember

The Atlantic Ocean floods onto Beach Avenue in Cape May, N.J., as Hurricane Sandy bears down on the mid-Atlantic coastline, October 29, 2012.

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Hurricane Sandy is making her move toward the mid-Atlantic coast, or rather she has been captured (as expected) by the upper level trough moving into the Eastern U.S., and so IT'S ON.

The Dover NWS (DOX) radar in enhanced base mode reflectivity, 12:59PM EDT, Oct. 29, 2012.

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The worst conditions here in D.C. are expected tonight with winds of 50+mph gusting to as high as 70mph (which would cause a lot of damage / downed trees and power lines) and squally rains. However, in the time I've been writing this entry, the wind has started to really gust outside and it's raining quite heavily. The rain is lashing against my window noisily.

The Sterling NWS (LWX) radar in enhanced base mode reflectivity, 1:37PM EDT, Oct. 29, 2012.

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Already conditions are rather bad along the Delmarva coastline and Jersey shore as well as Long Island and New York City (where a storm surge up to 11 feet is anticipated). All kinds of states of emergency and shutdowns are in effect. There is continuous news coverage on the local channels up and down the I-95 corridor from Ricmond, Va., to New England.

The Sterling LWX radar in enhanced base mode reflectivity early this morning at 6:10AM EDT, Oct. 29, 2012 as the first major rain band was approaching.

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Of note, there is a Full Moon tonight with its astronomical high tides.

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The East Coast visible satellite image at 1515UTC (11:15EDT) Oct. 29, 2012 showing Hurricane Sandy.

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The Federal Government is shut here in D.C., and so as an employee of a company that is a contractor to a large Federal agency, I have the day off. The Metrorail system is closed, too.

The U.S. East Coast water vapor satellite image at 1545UTC (11:45AM EDT), Oct. 29, 2012. On the loop, you could clearly see the digging / negative tilt shortwave that is pushing the hurricane's cloud shield northward (near the 5 o'clock position). The hurricane has been captured by the trough and it is in the process of transitioning into an extra-tropical cyclone.

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Here in D.C. proper, it's the usual fantasy land detached from the rest of reality with young people having the day off and thus the only thing to do is go to this or that restaurant, bar, or friend's place. In other words, a lot of hurricane parties are being had.

The National Hurricane Center's 5-day track for Hurricane Sandy issued at 2PM EDT intermediate advisory 29A.

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As of 2PM EDT, Hurricane Sandy's center is located at 38.3N and 73.1W or 110 miles southeast of Atlantic City and 175 miles south-southeast of New York City. Maximum sustained winds are 90mph and the central pressure has fallen to 940mb / 27.76". The forward motion is to the NW at 28mph. It has really accelerated.

The current weather warnings, watches, and advisories in effect in the NWS Eastern Region, updated at 12:45PM EDT, Oct. 29, 2012.

As I mentioned in my previous entry, you can see the hurricane force wind warnings in effect along the U.S. mid-Atlantic shoreline but the hurricane warnings in effect on the continental slope waters. This is due to the transitioning nature of the storm. Likewise this is why the tidal Potomac has storm warnings instead of tropical storm warnings in effect.

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There is an extensive area of heavy rainfall is located on the west side of the storm and it has been raining rather steadily across the entire Baltimore/Washington region since late last night. Looking at the obs on the LWX webpage, rainfall totals through the 1PM EDT today at the three regional airport climate stations are as follows:

KDCA: 1.90"
KBWI: 2.57"
KIAD: 2.02"

Also through 1PM EDT, Ocean City, Md. (KOXB) has had 4.84" of rain and Atlantic City, N.J. (KACY) has had 3.64" of rain. The Wildwood, N.J. automated reporting station (KWWD) has had 5.36"of rain.

Just for weather record-keeping purposes as of October 27th -- the day before any precipitation from Sandy started -- KDCA was at 0.98" month to date or -1.96" and year-to-date was 23.98" or -9.08" below the normal of 33.06" or -27.5 percent.

There is a CHANCE that this entire yearly deficit could be elminated in this storm.

Here is the Sterling (LWX) county warning area (CWA) map with weather advisories in effect this afternoon, updated 2:07PM, Oct. 29, 2012. D.C. is under a coastal flood warning (the one that takes precedence), a flood warning, a high wind warning, and a flood watch.

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Given the unusual hybrid / transitioning nature of this storm, which I've mentioned in my previous entries, with sufficiently cold air above about 2,000 feet, there are also blizzard warnings in effect in Garrett County, Md., and a number of counties in West Virginia. Indeed, 24 to 36 inches are forecasted in parts of the Blue Ridge. I suppose the GOP cavalcade of Know Nothings, Flat Earthers, corporate gigolos, and assorted kooks, cracks, and nutty libertarians will cite this as proof of "global cooling" since it isn't even Halloween yet.

Flooded Beach Avenue in Cape May, N.J., in Hurricane Sandy, Oct. 29, 2012.

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Oh, yes, I'm really glad Michael Mann is suing Mark Steyn and the National Review for libel. I know the fanatical free speech types believe he hasn't a chance, but that's not the point.

A flooded street in gloomy Atlantic City, N.J., Oct. 29, 2012 as Hurricane Sandy approaches.

In what is truly a sign of the impending Apocalypse, the casinos in Atlantic City are CLOSED today.

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Ominous skies looking out over the heaving, surging Atlantic Ocean from the beach in Queens, New York City as Hurricane Sandy approaches, Oct. 28 or 29 (unsure of date), 2012.

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This brings up the topic of Wall-P and his demands for God-like accuracy all in service of his main concerns:

"Eh. Eh. When will the storm hit? What time? What wind speed? Eh. Eh. Will this affect my collection of rents and interest accruals on my investments holdings? What will the final report show? Eh. Eh - "


Then the She-Mistress of the Manse -- doing jumping jack motions while lying down on her back in bed -- will scream at him and he'll settle back into his wee corner, the good corporate legal stooge that he is.

Oh, and I suppose Michael "Fat Ass Gas Bag" Barone will have a shitty opinion piece  in this or that propaganda appendage of the VRWC / GOP Death Star about why Mitt Romney won over more independent swing state soccer moms with his "commanding" and "presidential-like response" to the hurricane. As it is, just one more week until the election nightmare is over. Enuf with the flippin' polls always showing Romney ahead.

Sandbags set in place around the New York Stock Exchange, the very lair of the money-changers, crooks, and criminals of Wall Street in lower Manhattan, Oct. 29, 2012. The stock market is basically closed today and hence there are no opportunities today to blow financial bubbles or create new financialized instrument scams. Indeed, our whole American Way of Life in 2012 might collapse.

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Water begins to overtop the walkway at Battery Park in lower Manhattan, New York City, Oct. 29, 2012.

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Alright, that's all for now. I'm supposed to take a walk with Gary in this storm later this afternoon. I suppose we will end up at Larry's Lounge at some point. I plan to update this blog tonight or tomorrow, but keep in mind that given the wind gusts that are forecasted, it is quite possible the cable / internet could go out.

Waves churned up by Hurricane Sandy crash over the boardwalk in Ocean City, Md., Oct. 29, 2012.

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Oh, yes, as a weird connection ...

As I wrote this, I was watching Antenna TV and the old sitcom Hazel was on. I mention this because I think Hurricane Hazel in 1954 produced the highest ever wind gust officially measured in Washington, D.C. (at National Airport, KDCA) at 98mph.

--Regulus



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