Saturday, August 27, 2011

Rainy Logarithmic Spirals and Wind-Driven Beach Balls -OR- Hrcn. Irene Update (Part 3)

Storm-tossed waves crash into Avalon Pier in Kill Devil Hills, North Carolina as Hurricane Irene moves across the the Outer Banks shortly after landfall this morning, Aug. 27, 2011.

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Hurricane Irene came ashore around 1130UTC (7:30AM EDT) just west of Cape Lookout, North Carolina with sustained winds of 75KT (about 85MPH), or a category 1 tropical cyclone on the Saffir-Simpson Scale.

Close-up of Hurricane Irene right around landfall near Cape Lookout, N.C., around 8AM EDT, Aug. 27, 2011.

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A larger image of Hurricane Irene taken by GOES 13 at 10:10AM EDT about 2-1/2 hours after landfall near Cape Lookout, N.C., showing the sprawling tropical cyclone in the context of the Eastern United States.

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Two people battling the wind-driven rain in Nags Head, N.C., in Hurricane Irene, Aug. 27, 2011.

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The 2PM EDT intermediate advisory for Hurricane Irene:

Location: 35.5N 76.3W or 45 miles WNW of Cape Hatteras, N.C.
Maximum sustained winds: 85MPH
Forward motion: NNE at 13MPH
Central minimum pressure: 950MB or 28.05"

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A lady (Margene Jezo) walks in the squally rains of Hurricane Irene, Kitty Hawk, N.C., Aug. 27, 2011.

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The hurricane is a category 1 and may soon be downgraded to a tropical storm (although it actually got slightly stronger today as it passed over Pamlico Sound) as it begins to transition into an sub-tropical and then extra-tropical cyclone. At this point, the storm is basically a big nor'easter slowly pinwheeling up the Eastern Seaboard.

The radar mosaic of the eastern United States showing Hurricane Irene, 1908UTC (3:08PM EDT) showing the logarithmic spiral of the tropical cyclone's precipitation shield.

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Nevertheless, this is still a large cyclone with a broad wind field including hurricane-force winds out to 90 miles from the center and tropical storm-force winds out to 260 miles.

It also has tremendous rainfall along with an accompanying storm surge of 5 to 9 feet along the Outer Banks (including Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds) along with battering waves over-topping the barrier islands.

The Wakefield (AKQ) NWS radar in base reflectivity mode, 3:14PM EDT, Aug. 27, 2011.

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Irene still may cause significant damage and destructive flooding along the Delmarva, New Jersey shore and into New York City.


The Sterling (LWX) radar in base reflectivity mode, 3:11PM EDT, Aug. 27, 2011. National Airport)(DCA) has already had about 1/2" of rain but 3 to 5 inches overall are anticipated area-wide.

Updated 5:31PM: DCA has already reported 0.89" through 5PM and it is raining quite heavily with a flash flood warning in effect. 

Oh, yes, the yearly DCA precip. deficit (CORRECTED: down to 2.49" as of yesterday) will be easily eliminated today.

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At this point, an appropriate to this day, I would like to copy what the wonderful and inestimable Paul Krugman -- who has helped inform my views and keep me sane in an insane time -- posted on his New York Times blog earlier today ...

Lena Horne singing her signature song Stormy Weather in the 1943 movie of same name.

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I'm home right now watching a TV Land-aired marathon of Hot In Cleveland. That show is actually pretty darn funny. The current episode as I write this is "Hot for the Lawyer" in the courtroom scene with the hot guy defense attorney and the black female judge (played by Sherri Shepherd).

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A few other items ...

Gary is coming over soon and I think we're going to take a walk in the wind-lashed rain around Dupont Circle, or maybe over to Georgetown, on the look out for a suitable bar. Tonight, I plan to go to Nellie's. Last night, we had a nice / boozy time at Larry's Lounge with bartender Brian working.

Now I realize it is a bit dicey walking around in a hurricane (or just a big, windy rainstorm) but I will carry my Little Baby Oooza Good Luck Charm photo with me (see above).

Remember this particular Oooza -- Oooza Il' Magnifico or Oooza Il' Stupenda, though more properly called Oooza the Unloved -- came from a little brood (an Ooze) of Ooozas, pictured here as little Oooza chicks.

OK, I think that's about all for now.  

My next planned blog update will be tonight or tomorrow. I need to post some of the pictures that Chris T. has sent me of Montgomery, Alabama, where he is this weekend ahead of moving there for a job (it's a long story).

Again, Gary and I are going to trek over in the rain to Rosslyn and then walk back on a sort of bar crawl.

A lone beach ball bounces along in the hurricane winds at Nags Head, N.C., Aug. 27, 2011.

What was that weird movie with a bouncing ball? Not Dark Star but another one. Quill, do you know? It might be a sci-fi one. People were frozen trapped inside of it. 

--Regulus

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