Saturday, August 27, 2011

Rainy Logarithmic Spirals and Wind-Driven Beach Balls -OR- Hrcn. Irene Update (Part 3)

Storm-tossed waves crash into Avalon Pier in Kill Devil Hills, North Carolina as Hurricane Irene moves across the the Outer Banks shortly after landfall this morning, Aug. 27, 2011.


Hurricane Irene came ashore around 1130UTC (7:30AM EDT) just west of Cape Lookout, North Carolina with sustained winds of 75KT (about 85MPH), or a category 1 tropical cyclone on the Saffir-Simpson Scale.

Close-up of Hurricane Irene right around landfall near Cape Lookout, N.C., around 8AM EDT, Aug. 27, 2011.


A larger image of Hurricane Irene taken by GOES 13 at 10:10AM EDT about 2-1/2 hours after landfall near Cape Lookout, N.C., showing the sprawling tropical cyclone in the context of the Eastern United States.


Two people battling the wind-driven rain in Nags Head, N.C., in Hurricane Irene, Aug. 27, 2011.


The 2PM EDT intermediate advisory for Hurricane Irene:

Location: 35.5N 76.3W or 45 miles WNW of Cape Hatteras, N.C.
Maximum sustained winds: 85MPH
Forward motion: NNE at 13MPH
Central minimum pressure: 950MB or 28.05"


A lady (Margene Jezo) walks in the squally rains of Hurricane Irene, Kitty Hawk, N.C., Aug. 27, 2011.


The hurricane is a category 1 and may soon be downgraded to a tropical storm (although it actually got slightly stronger today as it passed over Pamlico Sound) as it begins to transition into an sub-tropical and then extra-tropical cyclone. At this point, the storm is basically a big nor'easter slowly pinwheeling up the Eastern Seaboard.

The radar mosaic of the eastern United States showing Hurricane Irene, 1908UTC (3:08PM EDT) showing the logarithmic spiral of the tropical cyclone's precipitation shield.


Nevertheless, this is still a large cyclone with a broad wind field including hurricane-force winds out to 90 miles from the center and tropical storm-force winds out to 260 miles.

It also has tremendous rainfall along with an accompanying storm surge of 5 to 9 feet along the Outer Banks (including Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds) along with battering waves over-topping the barrier islands.

The Wakefield (AKQ) NWS radar in base reflectivity mode, 3:14PM EDT, Aug. 27, 2011.


Irene still may cause significant damage and destructive flooding along the Delmarva, New Jersey shore and into New York City.

The Sterling (LWX) radar in base reflectivity mode, 3:11PM EDT, Aug. 27, 2011. National Airport)(DCA) has already had about 1/2" of rain but 3 to 5 inches overall are anticipated area-wide.

Updated 5:31PM: DCA has already reported 0.89" through 5PM and it is raining quite heavily with a flash flood warning in effect. 

Oh, yes, the yearly DCA precip. deficit (CORRECTED: down to 2.49" as of yesterday) will be easily eliminated today.


At this point, an appropriate to this day, I would like to copy what the wonderful and inestimable Paul Krugman -- who has helped inform my views and keep me sane in an insane time -- posted on his New York Times blog earlier today ...

Lena Horne singing her signature song Stormy Weather in the 1943 movie of same name.


I'm home right now watching a TV Land-aired marathon of Hot In Cleveland. That show is actually pretty darn funny. The current episode as I write this is "Hot for the Lawyer" in the courtroom scene with the hot guy defense attorney and the black female judge (played by Sherri Shepherd).


A few other items ...

Gary is coming over soon and I think we're going to take a walk in the wind-lashed rain around Dupont Circle, or maybe over to Georgetown, on the look out for a suitable bar. Tonight, I plan to go to Nellie's. Last night, we had a nice / boozy time at Larry's Lounge with bartender Brian working.

Now I realize it is a bit dicey walking around in a hurricane (or just a big, windy rainstorm) but I will carry my Little Baby Oooza Good Luck Charm photo with me (see above).

Remember this particular Oooza -- Oooza Il' Magnifico or Oooza Il' Stupenda, though more properly called Oooza the Unloved -- came from a little brood (an Ooze) of Ooozas, pictured here as little Oooza chicks.

OK, I think that's about all for now.  

My next planned blog update will be tonight or tomorrow. I need to post some of the pictures that Chris T. has sent me of Montgomery, Alabama, where he is this weekend ahead of moving there for a job (it's a long story).

Again, Gary and I are going to trek over in the rain to Rosslyn and then walk back on a sort of bar crawl.

A lone beach ball bounces along in the hurricane winds at Nags Head, N.C., Aug. 27, 2011.

What was that weird movie with a bouncing ball? Not Dark Star but another one. Quill, do you know? It might be a sci-fi one. People were frozen trapped inside of it. 


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