Saturday, November 30, 2019

Jukebox Saturday Night for Nov 30th, 2019: Welcome to the Merry Christmas and Multi-Cultural Happy Holiday Season Edition

Since we have crossed the threshold into the Christmas and Holiday season, I think it appropriate to dedicate this Jukebox Saturday Night Edition accordingly …


"I'll Be Home for Christmas" by Bing Crosby with John Scott Trotter and His Orchestra (1943)

As The Keeper of All Knowledge explains:


"I'll Be Home for Christmas" is a Christmas song written by the lyricist Kim Gannon and composer Walter Kent and recorded in 1943 by Bing Crosby, who scored a top ten hit with the song.

Originally written to honor soldiers overseas who longed to be home at Christmas time, "I'll Be Home for Christmas" has since gone on to become a Christmas standard.

It's really too bad Bing Crosby was such a horrible dick to his children and quite thoroughly fucked them up.

Funny thing is, I actually remember the day that Bing Crosby died -- except I was confused who he was and mistook him for Bill Cosby, who I knew via the Fat Albert and the Cosby Kids cartoon show. I was 7 and living in Long Branch, N.J., with my paternal grandparents and dad (my mom was in Belgium with Ray).

On the day he died, it was big news and everyone was making a fuss about it. However, my grandma said to me, "Who cares?? He was an old fart!" and I took big exception to that because I was confusing him with Bill Cosby, who I thought had died.

*******

Next, a Christmas song I've always loved …


"It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year" as performed by Andy Williams on The Andy Williams Christmas Album (1963)

This is a nice live version from some long-ago Christmas special. It almost looks like a Lawrence Welk Show special.

Actually, this particular song is ready-made for parody versions -- and Chester and I have done just that. Our version is centered on the title: "It's the Hose-Baggiest Time of the Year"

"There'll be hoses for bagging,
And big bagging for hosing
And hose-bagging out in the snow.
There'll be scary hose stories
And tales of the glories of
Hose bags long, long ago … "

"It's the hose baggiest time of the year / There'll be bagging and hosing / And bagging with hosing / When hose bags are near."

*******

Next up, since the world was, is, and shall forever be screwed up as long as humans dwell on this planet …


"Do They Know It's Christmas?" by the temporary British/Irish charity supergroup Band Aid (1984)

I'll refrain from posting any information about this song. Turning again to The Keeper Of All Knowledge, you can read about it here.

The lyrics definitely are not meant to make a fat, dumb American audience happy and feel good about itself -- not in 1984 and certainly not in a Trump voter in 2019.

*******

Next, a fascinating and wonderful 1970s rendition of a classic song …


"Mary's Boy Child - Oh My Lord" by the group Boney M. (1978)

While this was a single, it was later included on the group's 1981 album named Christmas Album. The song is a variation of Jester Hairston's 1956 Mary's Boy Child, which was originally performed that year by Harry Belafonte.

I well remember Boney M. from when I visited my mom in the summer of 1979.

She had a copy of the group's album Nightflight to Venus, which included song of same name, as well as the group's most famous hits, Rivers of Babylon and Rasputin -- all of which made lasting impressions upon me.

*******

Finally, we'll end with something that is more Saturday night upbeat while keeping with the Christmas holiday theme …


"Shake Up Christmas" by Train from the band's album Save Me, San Francisco (2009) and re-released on Christmas in Tahoe (2015)

Very nice song and video.

OK, that's all for now. My intention is to post an entry later tonight as a "Wee Hours Sunday" edition rather than to try to finish the entry I've partially composed as a "Saturday Evening Post" one …

--Regulus

Thursday, November 28, 2019

Dorothy & Ezekiel's Stormy U.S. Thanksgiving 2019; Trump's Sprawling Criminal Enterprise Gives Usual Its Yanks-Thieving; The Little KDMH ASOS To Go Down For At Least 3 Months

Fall day, Glen Burnie, Md., 2:08 p.m. November 28, 2019

*******

Thanksgiving Day 2019

It's a blustery, windy day with temps around 46F and a northwesterly wind in the with gusts to 40 mph. I'm visiting my mom in Glen Burnie for the holiday. We're going to a Thanksgiving dinner at the American Legion hall in Severna Park. I'll head back to D.C. on Saturday.

National Weather Service (NWS) National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) surface weather map forecast with fronts, isobars, and precipitation by type and likelihood for the U.S. looped in 6-hour and then 12-hour time-steps, as shown, 18Z 28 Nov 2019 - 12Z 30 Nov 2019

*******

NWS weather advisories for the U.S. updated 1635 UTC
28 November 2019

*******

About the weather, is very stormy across large parts of the United States to include a early-season blizzard across the Great Plains and Midwest (dubbed "Dorothy" in the Weather Channel's naming convention) and, more dramatically from my perspective, a "Bomb Cyclone" storm (dubbed "Ezekiel" by the Weather Channel) slamming the Western United States -- with a focus on Southern California.

To clarify, those names are not used by the NWS, which for its part only names tropical cyclones.

NWS base reflectivity radar national mosaic looped
1518 - 1628 UTC 28 Nov 2019

*******

Below are two CWG entries (links embedded). First one:


"Millions" … This reminds me of the Hysterical One's yowling and shrieking with gran mal palsied facial contortions:

"MILLIONS! MILLIONS! MILLIONS!
THE SECRET SPECIAL SAUCE WILL EARN YOU MILLIONS!! MILLIONS!! ROCK ON!! ROCK ON!! AAAIHH!!!"


OK, he never actually said that.

Snowstorm, downtown Denver, Colo., Nov 26, 2019

*******


Western U.S. satellite picture in GeoColor mode, 1851 UTC (10:51 a.m. PST) 28 November 2019

*******


So, naturally, these and any other online stories about it have an open sewer comment section that has degenerated into a shit show of Russian government-backed social media disinformation, vintage Middle American stupidity, present-day cultural vulgarity, and all-around soul-numbing destruction.


Trump, by the way, in his syphilis-addled, antisocial-personality-disordered, increasingly dementia-plagued mental, rotting physical bodied state, has promised to launch a "war" to "save Thanksgiving" -- presumably, since we've moved beyond the "War on Christmas" horseshit of Fox News.

Look at him … What a cretin running a sprawling, endless criminal enterprise.

The nearest "Colonel Bone Spurs" ever got to the military was, by his own admission, a treatment at a high-end New York clinic for VD.


Nevertheless, Trump probably correctly figures that using the military as props -- while pardoning those who do things that are criminal and damage the standing of the U.S. in the eyes of the world -- is a way to jack up the white fundie turnout to 99.999%, and thus thread his way to some obscene Electoral College victory.


On this matter, I'm increasingly of the view that this Malevolent Toxic Orange Fungus is going to win again. To be clear, he'll lose the popular vote by, like, 5 to 6 million votes this time but eek out some unbelievable Mitch McConnell-esque, Slave State Electoral College victory.


Look at Mitch McConnell: Pure satanic evil. Mitch McConnell pulsates evil out of that grotesque face and those dead eyes. He could, in fact, be blind at this point. He doesn't need vision, just the ability to use Trump as a tool.

Mitch McConnell reminds me of the green-skinned red-eyed, malevolent telepathic man in A Wrinkle In Time featured on the cover of the book edition I had (see image at left, which is the one on my edition).

In developing this analogy, if McConnell is that man, then the disembodied brain of "IT" on Camazotz is Fox News and the GOP's media entertainment and disinformation complex, not Trump himself -- he's far too stupid and unstable for that.

*******

San Diego NWS Forecast Office (SGX) NWS infographic of forecasted Southern California regional rainfall totals, issued 27 November 2019

Yes, that's widespread 2 to 3 inches in Southern California along the coastal and valley areas.

*******

SGX NWS infographic of forecasted Southern California regional snowfall totals, issued 27 November 2019

Those include snow totals of 24+ inches in the highest elevations to include Mount San Antonio ("Old Baldy"). 

*******

This cold-core Pacific storm came ashore north of the San Francisco Bay area and dropped on a sharp south/southwesterly path that brought it into Southern California. The system is bringing a very un-Southern California assortment of weather to include numerous showers, thunderstorms, and heavy snowfall above about 5,000' elevation with 2+ feet forecasted for the San Gabriel Mountains above Los Angeles.

SGX County Warning Area (CWA) weather advisories updated 8:48 a.m. PST November 28, 2019

You rarely see this many weather advisories of this nature in Southern California to include flash flood warnings, special marine warnings, flood advisories, and winter storm warnings, flash flood watches, winter weather advisories, and wind advisories.

*******

Los Angeles NWS Forecast Office (LOX) CWA weather advisories updated 8:48 a.m. PST November 28, 2019

*******

The Miramar Marine Corps Air Station (MCAS) (Joe Foss Field Airport) (NKX) National Weather Service (NWS) radar in standard base reflectivity mode looped 
8:23 a.m. to 8:51 a.m. PST Nov 28, 2019

*******

This low pressure system ("Ezekiel") will cross the United States with the main low moving into the central Great Plains and Great Lakes while another low develops ahead of it over the Appalachians by Sunday and tracking across the Mid-Atlantic including the D.C. area and offshore. Sunday is forecasted to be a rainy day here.

Santa Ana Mountains NWS radar (SOX) in standard composite mode looped 8:42 a.m. - 9:07 a.m. PST November 28, 2019

*******

Here are some additional weather-related images …

SWCONUS mosaic in base reflectivity radar looped
1528 - 1638 UTC 28 November 2019

*******

Changing gears somewhat, below is a news item involving the Baltimore Inner Harbor (KDMH) Automated Surface Observation System (ASOS) -- that is, the NWS weather station there. My guess is that this is the end of the KDMH ASOS … Like everything else in Baltimore, it's disappearing …

A picture of the KDMH ASOS temperature sensor and rain gauge taken on May 13, 2017.

This picture and the ones below were taken by myself on a Mothers Day visit to Baltimore with my mom to the Rusty Scupper. (We've since decided to go only to Annapolis for these sorts of days. Baltimore is a deteriorating, dangerous basket case of a city.)

My full writeup about the Baltimore Inner Harbor (KDMH) ASOS that I wrote in May 2017 is here.


PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1011 AM EST WED NOV 27 2019

… NWS AUTOMATED SURFACE OBSERVATION SYSTEM AT BALTIMORE INNER HARBOR MD WILL SUSPEND OPERATIONS THROUGH MARCH 2021 DUE TO CONSTRUCTION …

CONSTRUCTION AT JOSEPH H. RASH MEMORIAL PARK ON BALTIMORE'S INNER HARBOR WILL IMPACT THE NWS AUTOMATED SURFACE OBSERVATION SYSTEM (ASOS) BALTIMORE INNER HARBOR MARYLAND (KDMH) STATION LOCATED THERE.

The All Weather Precipitation Accumulation Gauge (AWPAG) at the KDMH ASOS

TO ALLOW FOR SITE WORK, THE DMH ASOS SENSORS NEED TO BE REMOVED AND STORED UNTIL CONSTRUCTION IS COMPLETED. AFTER THE CONSTRUCTION IS COMPLETED, DMH WILL BE RE-ESTABLISHED WITHIN RASH MEMORIAL PARK.

THE SUSPENSION OF OBSERVATIONS IS SCHEDULED TO BEGIN ON DECEMBER 18, 2019. IT IS ESTIMATED THAT THE SITE WILL BE READY TO BE RE-ESTABLISHED APPROXIMATELY MARCH 2021.


THE TWO NEAREST SURFACE WEATHER OBSERVATION SITES THAT WILL CONTINUE TO OPERATE IN THE VICINITY OF KDMH DURING THIS OUTAGE ARE: BWI MARSHALL AIRPORT (KBWI), AND MARTIN STATE AIRPORT (KMTN).

The Inner Harbor ASOS station was commissioned on April 30, 1998 and does not yet have a full 30-year climate data set.

It would have had its first complete data set in time for the release of the 2001 - 2030 averages (which, theoretically, will occur in early 2031).

This outage means that it could be delayed by another decade, by which point the spot may very well be under water due to sea level rise.

And on that note, I will conclude this entry. I'll try to post another entry tomorrow night.

--Regulus

Tuesday, November 26, 2019

Christ Almighty, Today, I'm One-Half Century Old -OR- Statistically, One-Half To Two-Thirds Of This Life Down, One-Third To One-Half To Go


November 26, 2019: 50 years old today …

… and I'm not feeling well. Specifically, I had a migraine headache this morning and took two of those sumatriptan succinate pills I have, and that zonked me out for almost two hours of bizarre dream-filled sleep. At least my window a/c cranked on from just blower mode (as it is when the outside air temp is under about 50F -- yes, 50, on the Fahrenheit scale, anyway).


Yes, even though it is late November and chilly outside, it still can get too warm in my old apartment as a result of the radiator heat that is sent through the pipework, even without the radiator in my unit turned on.

About the weather, today is actually a partly cloudy, mild day with temps around 62F. The weather pattern across the U.S. is quite active, but here in the D.C. area, today is just mild and tranquil.


I headed on the Metro into the office but had lunch with two co-worker friends, Matt and Julie, at the Vie de France at 600 Maryland Ave SW.

To be clear, last night I just went to the gym and had a full, multi-part workout including jog, weightlifting, and swim (i.e., no going out). However, by the time I got home, I didn't feel like posting another entry, especially anything political-related.


For tomorrow, I'm going to take the MARC train up to Odenton and meet my mom for a three day visit spanning Thanksgiving itself. I'll come back to D.C. on Saturday. For tonight, I'm going to meet Andrea -- I think at the bar at The Occidental, a restaurant that is semi-sorta part of the Willard InterGalacticContinental, and then maybe Gary at Union Trust -- definitely no where on fucking 17th Street.


God, I hate that place. At this point, it's basically a high-end commercial slum in an urban residential setting. The old Cobalt, vacant now for about six months, is starting to look like one of those structures featured in the series Life After People, or at least something on New York City's North Brother Island …


I don't see how it is going to renovated into a bunch of severely overpriced condos sold to some trust fund baby types by the usual phalanx of parasitic real estate agents. But that's not my goddamn problem.

OK, I'm going to sign off for now. Next planned entry: Tomorrow night or Thursday.

--Regulus

Monday, November 25, 2019

This November of Crummy Remember: On the Eve of a Certain 50-50 Milestone

Fall day in Southwest Washington, D.C., Nov 24, 2019; photo by Flickr user chasingmailboxes and reposted in this CWG entry.

*******

So, I suppose I will continue to post entries after all. It's just that I've been a terrible mood of late due to a confluence of events including my impending milestone birthday and everything that is wrong in the Trump era.

Although yesterday (Sunday) was a nice day with Chester, it ended on one of those periodic, indeed, episodic disastrous notes that I have at this or that bar. 

I think this brings the total no-go list to 7. 

Good. And, no, I'm not going to say where it was.

For tonight, I would like to try to recreate the Trump impeachment-related entry that I foolishly deleted last night. I'll try to do that after the gym, which I'm going to try to do tonight -- especially since I probably won't go again until next Monday (i.e., after the Thanksgiving holiday and my visit to see my mom).

Turning to the weather, the pattern is forecasted to turn active across the United States. Here is the present NWS advisory map with legend:

NWS weather advisories for the United States updated 2239 UTC (5:39 p.m. EST) 25 November 2019

*******

Yet here is the present NWS base reflectivity radar national mosaic:

NWS base reflectivity radar national mosaic looped 2108 - 2208 UTC 25 Nov 2019

*******

However, here is what is forecasted:

NWS NDFD surface weather map forecast with fronts, isobars, and precipitation by type and likelihood for the U.S. looped in 6-hour and then 12-hour time-steps, as shown, 0Z 26 Nov 2019 - 0Z 28 Nov 2019

*******

The first system mostly bypasses the Mid-Atlantic region but the second one -- the big one coming into Western Seaboard -- should have a more significant impact.

GFS 12Z 25 Nov 2019 showing MSLP, 1000-500mb thicknesses, and 6-hr precipitation in mm/hr. valid hour 144 12Z 01 Dec 2019

*******

This means that Thanksgiving holiday travel will be disrupted by the weather. Fine with me. 

OK, signing off.

--Regulus

One Day Before I Turn 50, I'm Taking a Break From This Blog For the Time Being (Updated)

**This entry was posted November 25, 2019.**

Updated 1:02 p.m. 11/25/2019: See bottom of entry.


OK, I've decided to stop posting on this blog for the time being.

There's nothing more that I want to say, and I'm not able to talk anymore here. I know that I'm mentally ill, and I'm tired and disgusted with everything … not just related to this blog but my jokester of a life but also the things I will never control to include the fucking disease of Trump his GOP cult-worshipers. I just give up.

I'm done talking to all of you in this manner, and I hate this diseased and horrid place. I'm sick and tired of fucking rap music and all the garbage it entails to include the politically-correct garbage that must be part of it -- and if you don't love it, you're the bad guy.

I turn 50 on Tuesday … I can't even process that. I'm sick of it all, and I'm not going to talk any more about it. I'll figure it out later.

Good night and good bye for the time being. I just don't want to have to post anything on this cock-ass of a blog for the time being.

Updated 1:02 p.m. 11/25/2019

Well, another Monday, even if the start of the week of the stupid Thanksgiving holiday. I hate Thanksgiving. Always have.

And not just because it always screws up my birthday since the two are always so close and some years coincident.

Per this entry, I'm not sure if I should or can break from the blog.

I do know that I shouldn't have deleted the draft entry I was planning since I had already bout so much time into it. OK, let me start this goddamn day.

I may go to the gym tonight after work, although I really just want to come home, watch some TV, and sleep again for 12 hours.

End of Update and of Entry.

--Regulus

Sunday, November 24, 2019

Sunday Interim Entry (Because My Planned One Is Taking Too Frickin' Long To Finish)

Sunrise over London from Primrose Hill with a light mist in the air, November 6, 2019; picture courtesy my friend Aaron G. who was in London on business earlier this month.

*******

Sorry for the lack of entries recently.

To be clear, I have a significant entry that I am preparing but I haven't finished it and, well, life keeps getting in the way including just sleeping, of which I do 8 to 10 hours worth on most days and 12 on the weekends …

I wrote the bulk of aforementioned entry last night but I didn't finish it, nor did I do any of the formatting. My intention is to finish the goddamn entry later tonight.

Fall splendor, Central Park, New York

*******

As a general and specific comment: These cocked up entries take so goddamn long to write that it becomes exceedingly difficult for me to finish most of them. In addition, the entry that I want to post has a lot of impeachment-related and foul Trump / GOP Trump-cult related commentary, and that has been very difficult for me to write because of my personal feelings on the matter.

Unsure where, when, or by whom this stunningly beautiful pic was taken …

*******

For today, I am meeting Chester shortly in order to take a walk and get lunch somewhere. It gets dark so early this time of year that even now at 1 p.m., it feels like late afternoon trending into evening. I went to bed at 430 a.m. -- after having done my laundry and watching the usual MeTV Saturday night / wee hours Sunday morning lineup of shows, in turn, after having gone to Fred and Doug's for one of our Sunday evening dinner parties moved to Saturday evening.

Fall day overlooking Lake Superior in Minnesota's Tettegouche State Park

*******

It's a breezy, seasonably chilly late November day -- just two days ahead of my frickin' 50th birthday -- with temps around 50F and a northwesterly wind occasionally gusting to 30 mph. This follows a moderate-to-heavy rainfall last night with 3/4 to 1 inch totals. The leaves are mostly off the trees now -- except for those that hold onto them through the winter season.

OK, that's all for this entry. Again, my plan is to post my entry-under-development later tonight.

--Regulus

Thursday, November 21, 2019

Weather Overview and Astronomy News Update: Southern California Rains, Split Jet Stream Flow, and a Just-Maybe Unicorn Meteor Storm

Lovely fall forest scene in Rock Creek Park here in Washington, D.C., November 17, 2019 in a photo taken by Flickr user Angela N. and featured in this CWG entry.

*******

So, I want definitely to post a Trump impeachment update, but for this entry, I would like instead to feature a weather-related posting.

U.S. Pacific Southwest sector NWS base reflectivity radar mosaic looped 1948 - 2058 UTC 20 November 2019

This was from earlier today (Wednesday), specifically between the time of 11:48 a.m. and 12:58 p.m. PST

*******

No, there's nothing particularly of note in our region tonight. The most noteworthy element is the strong cold-core upper level low that came ashore over Southern California and is now slowly rotating across Arizona.

U.S. Southern Rockies sector NWS base reflectivity radar mosaic looped 2018 - 2128 UTC 20 November 2019 (that is, 1:18 p.m. - 2:28 p.m. MST, November 20, 2019).

*******

This upper level low resulted in a strong pressure gradient between southern Oregon and central California -- and a gusty northerly wind that resulted in widespread red flag warnings for enhanced wildfire danger -- not to mention, PG&E preemptively shutting off power again to areas north of the San Francisco Bay area, although no where near the numbers impacted last month when nearly 3 million people were temporarily blacked out even while massive wildfires raged.

Windy weather infographic from the Sacramento NWS (STO) forecast office, November 20, 2019

*******

The weather pattern resulted in an interesting configuration of NWS weather hazard products over the past two days in California that invert what one might expect, namely, red flag warnings in northern California, winter storm warnings in the central and southern Sierra Nevada Mountains and even the San Gabriel Mountains above Los Angeles, and flash flood watches for areas of Southern California all the way to the Pacific coastline. In some cases, the deep pink color of the red flag warnings were cheek-by-jowl to the hot pink of the winter storm warnings.

NWS U.S. weather hazard advisories (without legend), 1552 UTC (10:52 a.m. EST) 19 November 2019

*******

NWS U.S. weather hazard advisories (without legend), 2146 UTC (4:46 p.m. EST) 20 November 2019

*******

Los Angeles NWS (LOX) rainy weather infographic for November 20, 2019

*******

The system has produced showers and thunderstorms across the coastal and valley locations and heavy snowfall in the mountains above about 5,500 feet in Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. Two-day precipitation amounts ranging from a trace in Santa Barbara to nearly 2 inches in higher parts of San Diego County east of the city.

San Diego NWS (SGX) rainfall totals for Southern California infographic 5 p.m. PST Wednesday through Thursday night, November 20, 2019

*******

The highest amount I could find with an ASOS was Campo at 1.22 inches through 4 p.m. PST, although even downtown Los Angeles - USC (KCQT) picked up 0.63 inches (all on Nov 20th). Two-day rainfall totals for parts of Southern California were as follows (and I'm only including the ICAO codes rather than place names):

KCZZ: 1.13" (including 11/19 daily record of 1.09")
KSDM: 0.90"
KOKB: 0.84" (including 11/20 daily record of 0.80")
KCQT: 0.63"
KSAN: 0.42"
KLGB: 0.38"
KLAX: 0.35"
KBUR: 0.33"
KSNA: 0.17"
KFUL: 0.13"
KPSP: 0.09"
KRAL: 0.09"
KPRB: 0.02"
KSBA: Trace

No, we're not into Los Angeles: November 2019 Blade Runner territory …


Interestingly, the latest 0Z GFS has a 987-mb low coming ashore at San Francisco at hour 150 (6Z 27 Nov 2019).

As for back here, there was an interesting bit of weather on Tuesday night as an upper level low with occluded mesoscale low surface reflection rotating across the Mid-Atlantic -- itself the back side of an earlier weekend nor'easter that really impacted eastern Massachusetts and coastal Maine before heading to the Canadian Maritime provinces.

Here was the weather map for Tuesday evening …

NWS high-resolution surface weather map for 0Z 19 November (7 p.m. EST November 18,) 2019 for a portion of the eastern United States

*******

Same as above but focused in on the Mid-Atlantic region

This map shows a "meso-high pressure" area over the immediate D.C. area and an occluded front literally 70 miles to the west extending back to a minor surface low centered about Warren, Ohio.

*******

NECONUS base reflectivity radar mosaic looped 0238 - 0348 UTC 19 November 2019 (9:38 p.m. - 10:48 p.m. EST November 18, 2019)

*******

In the Metro D.C. and Baltimore areas, KDCA actually picked up the most -- and, on a personal note, I got quite wet walking the short way home from the gym, although not nearly as drenched as three weeks ago on Halloween night -- with 0.31" while the other main weather recording spots picked up the following:

KBWI: 0.13"
KIAD: 0.13"
KDMH: 0.09"

I'll post an update on the monthly, seasonal, and yearly precipitation totals and departures at the end of the month.

Sterling (LWX) NWS radar in standard base mode reflectivity looped 10:01 p.m. - 10:51 p.m. EST
November 18, 2019

*******

LWX NWS radar in standard composite mode looped
10:01 p.m. - 10:45 p.m. EST November 18, 2019

The orange and red colors in standard composite mode suggest sleet was occurring in the clouds -- but melting by the time the precipitation reached the surface where temps were about 44F and dew points nearly the same.

*******

Looking ahead, the pattern into the weekend is uncertain as a result of a split jet flow with the southern stream system (discussed above) ejecting out of the Desert Southwest into the Southern Great Plains and thence the Southeastern U.S. while a northern stream upper level trough / closed low swinging through the Great Lakes region into Quebec. There is a chance of rain on Saturday here in the D.C. area but the split pattern makes it uncertain.

NWS/WPC/NDFD U.S. surface weather map forecast with fronts, isobars, and types / general chances of precipitation, looped from 12Z 21 Nov to 0Z 23 Nov 2019 in six hour intervals

*******

Of note and in keeping with our globally warming and warmed, human-fouled world, 2019 is shaping up to be among the warmest months globally on record. The CWG had this entry on the matter (link embedded): We're living through Earth's second-hottest year, NOAA finds

What don't humans totally fuck up and turn to shit?

Here are the key figures from the entry …

Global land-ocean surface temperature anomalies for Oct 2019 versus the 1981 - 2010 base period, NOAA

*******

The 1955 - Sept 2019 trend in global ocean heat content, surface to 2,000-meters, measured in units of 10^22 Joules versus baseline for the averaging periods show

Just FYI: 10^22 Joules is 10 septillion Joules or 10 Zetta-Joules, or if you prefer, 10 billion Tera-Joules. Yes, that's a lot.

Oh, yes, ignore the comment section. It's as if the people who call in the wee hours into Coast to Coast AM decided to show up and post whatever nonsense occupies their brains.

*******

On Unicorns and Meteor Shower Outbursts… 


Lastly, for this entry, I'd like to note this astronomy news item via this CWG entry (link embedded): One hundred meteors in 15 minutes? 'Short-lived outburst' of shooting stars forecast for Thursday night.

This is in reference to the Alpha Monocerotid meteor shower expected late Thursday night -- which could, if all goes well, produce a veritable meteor "storm" around 11:50 p.m. EST and lasting up to 45 minutes.


Yes, these things are invariably overpredicted for annual meteor showers -- of which Alpha Monocerotids is one …

… but this year, two astronomers who have studied this calculate, as ever-so-often happens, there could be a much higher zenithal hourly rate than usual, possibly on par with previous outbursts ("storms"), the last of which was in 1995, as Planet Earth transits through the tail produced by an unidentified long-period comet. You can also read about it here.

The name Monocerotids comes from fact that meteor shower's radiant point appears to come from the constellation Monoceros ("the Unicorn"). The best viewing will in South America but there is reason for optimism (given suitable viewing conditions) in the eastern United States.


We'll see … Maybe.

OK, that's all for now. I'll try to post another entry by Saturday.

--Regulus