Tuesday, November 29, 2016

Democratic Party Deserved Death or Sorry and Pity: Krystal Ball Vs. Paul; Regardless, "This Is It"

Oak tree at dusk in Glen Burnie, Md., 4:27PM Nov. 27, 2016. This picture was taken along the B&A Trail near Sunset Restaurant.

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Well, I had high hopes for glorious, sprawling blog entry but that's not going to happen. It's 1:17AM as I write this and I'm way, way tired after a long day that included a full gym workout tonight.

For tomorrow after work, it's a non-gym night. I may try to post an entry after work and not take the computer. I dunno. It depends on whether we get any rain or not. Maybe I'll just stop at Trade. Or even Joe's Restaurant, again.

Oh, yes, some of my younger friends -- the "& Company" part when I say "Andrea & Company" -- reignited their on-again, off-again political debate threads, this time initiated with a series of pieces that Jake sent including this highly provocative one by Krystal Ball (Krystal Ball??) that appeared on Huffington Post two days after the election disaster (link embedded):



Excerpts:

They said they were facing an economic apocalypse, we offered "retraining" and complained about their white privilege. Is it any wonder we lost? One after another, the dispatches came back from the provinces. The coal mines are gone, the steel mills are closed, the drugs are rampant, the towns are decimated and everywhere you look depression, despair, fear. In the face of Trump's willingness to boldly proclaim without facts or evidence that he would bring the good times back, we offered a tepid gallows logic. Well, those jobs are actually gone for good, we knowingly told them. And we offered a fantastical non-solution. We will retrain you for good jobs! Never mind that these "good jobs" didn't exist in East Kentucky or Cleveland. And as a final insult, we lectured a struggling people watching their kids die of drug overdoses about their white privilege. Can you blame them for calling bullshit? All Trump could offer was white nationalism as protection against competing with black and brown people. It wasn’t a very compelling case, but it was vastly superior to a candidate who enthusiastically backed NAFTA, seems most at ease in a room of Goldman Sachs bankers and was almost certain to do nothing for these towns other than maybe setting up a local chapter of Rednecks Who Code. We bet that Trump's manifest awfulness would be enough to let us eke out a win. We were dead wrong. Here's my version of the Democratic Party autopsy because, make no mistake, the old ways of the Democratic party must die...


I don't want to downplay the role of racism and sexism in all of this, ugly diseases that erupt and fester in times of fear. There is no doubt that Donald Trump has surfaced an ugliness and tribalism that denies our common humanity. The idea once argued that we live in a post-racial America is clearly laughable. But in spite of all of this, I don;t feel despair for our nation. Am I afraid? Of course. I don’t think anyone, including Donald Trump knows what a Donald Trump presidency will actually look like. But we did not in eight years time turn from the country that proudly elected its first African American president to a bunch of angry Klansmen. Voters were offered a choice between a possibility of catastrophe in Trump and a guarantee of mediocrity in Clinton. Clearly, they picked the high-risk bet that they felt at least gave them some chance to escape the certain economic doom that they feel in their current lives. I know in my heart though that we can do better than Trumpism. And I see an opening now to push forward with the bold ideas that the Democratic party would have rejected out of hand last week.

Crashing ocean surf at Bombo Headland Quarry, Kiama, New South Wales, Australia; Photo by Shane Arrold.

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Conversely, there is this piece from about 11 days ago by Paul Krugman on his blog (which he really doesn't keep up much anymore): The Sorrow and the Pity.

A lot of people in politics and the media are scrambling to normalize what just happened to us, saying that it will all be OK and we can work with Trump. No, it won't, and no, we can't. The next occupant of the White House will be a pathological liar with a loose grip on reality; he is already surrounding himself with racists, anti-Semites, and conspiracy theorists; his administration will be the most corrupt in America history.

How did this happen? There were multiple causes, but you just can't ignore the reality that key institutions and their leaders utterly failed. Every news organization that decided, for the sake of ratings, to ignore policy and barely cover Trump scandals while obsessing over Clinton emails, every reporter who, for whatever reason -- often sheer pettiness -- played up Wikileaks nonsense and talked about how various Clinton stuff "raised questions" and "cast shadows" is complicit in this disaster. And then there's the FBI: it's quite reasonable to argue that James Comey, whether it was careerism, cowardice, or something worse, tipped the scales and may have doomed the world.

No, I'm not giving up hope. Maybe, just maybe, the sheer awfulness of what's happening will sink in. Maybe the backlash will be big enough to constrain Trump from destroying democracy in the next few months, and/or sweep his gang from power in the next few years. But if that's going to happen, enough people will have to be true patriots, which means taking a stand.

And anyone who doesn't -- who plays along and plays it safe -- is betraying America, and mankind.


I don't know what to think (what is the actual difference in their recommended solutions??), and in fact, I think nothing anymore. I'm just going to sit back (as best I can) and watch the show unfold. And what a show it will be ...



Indeed, I can't think of a better theme song for the Trump/GOP One Party Rule Reality Show starring 325 million Americans and 7.36 billion humans on this planet.

Enjoy the Show.

--Regulus

Monday, November 28, 2016

Monday Morning After the Thanksgiving Holiday Brief Update; Finally, a Chance of Rain; Plus Some Random Residential Glen Burnie Pictures

Old residential Glen Burnie around 1st Street and D Street SW, Glen Burnie, Md., 2:45PM November 27, 2016.

Glen Burnie -- a Census-Designated Place in Anne Arundel County consisting of the 21060 and 21061 postal "zip" codes -- has an inner residential part that is actually has a street grid system mimicking that of Washington, D.C., namely four directional quadrants (SW, NW, NE, and NW) and intersecting alpha-numeric streets.

However, the addresses along the main thoroughfares such as Ritchie Highway are actually numbered out from Baltimore.

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A house in residential old Glen Burnie, Md., 2:48PM November 27, 2016.

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Monday morning -- back to work after the Thanksgiving holiday weekend that included, as it almost always does, my birthday.

Yesterday, after early afternoon lunch at Hellas restaurant in Millersville with my mom and Ray in which Chester joined us, Chester and I took a walk around part of Glen Burnie. This included old residential Glen Burnie and across the grounds of Glen Burnie High School -- basically unchanged since I left there in June 1988 some 28-1/2 years ago except to include a prison-like iron fence around the inner sanctum of it and to look more suburban inner city ghetto-like than I recall.

9 Oak Lane SW, Glen Burnie, Md., 2:49PM.

I kind of like this house and it's setting. 

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I'll have more to say on that in a subsequent entry, or rather, at least some pictures to show.

We then stopped at Sunset Restaurant -- at the bar -- for a drink, my second day in a row there after not having gone there since, I believe, fall 1984 (or at least at some point between 1983 and 1985). Chester then dropped me off at the BWI Rail Station and I took the final MARC train back to D.C.

Once back in the city, I took the Metro to Farragut West and then walked to Trade and then, after a couple drinks, to Exiles, where I met my neighbor, Fred, and we had another drink and some dinner before I returned home.

Tonight after work is a gym night. My intention is to post a blog entry thereafter.

An alley in residential old Glen Burnie, Md., 2:46PM November 27, 2016.

In another similarity to Washington, D.C., old residential Glen Burnie has a series of alleys between the main (side) streets geared toward garbage trucks and other service vehicles. The alleys are numbered 2XX in this part of the town. I think this is Alley 214, but I might be wrong.

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Weather-wise, there is FINALLY the chance of some meaningful rainfall this week with two distinct chances. The Baltimore/Washington area is in a drought as is a large swath of the eastern U.S. Rainfall has been a whopping 80 percent below normal since Oct. 1st and about 62 percent below normal since September 1st (the start of climatological fall).

NWS WPC QPF forecast for the Lower 48 and southern Canada valid days 1 - 3, 12Z Nov. 28 - 12Z Dec. 1, 2016.

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I'll post more details on this as well in a subsequent entry.

OK, that's all for now. Time to start my day.

Huffington Post headline this morning -- this one concerning Trump's bizarre tweets that Hillary's 2-1/2 million (and growing) popular vote lead was actually due to massive voter fraud (a long-running Republican shibboleth). This was triggered, in turn, by (futile) efforts (being led by Jill Stein, of all people) to have a recount in Wisconsin and other states she lost by razor-thin margins that gave the Electoral College to this megalomaniacal kleptocratic madman.

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Oh, and as I mentioned recently, as we actually reach the actual start of GOP Trumpocalypse, I'm necessarily -- for my own mental well-being -- tuning out except for the really major things (which, admittedly, could be many things). As such, my intention is to significantly reduce the number and extent of political-themed entries in the months (and years) ahead.

--Regulus

Saturday, November 26, 2016

Jukebox Saturday Night for Nov. 26th, 2016: My Birthday and Your Love Edition

As it is my birthday and Saturday night, I should post a Jukebox Saturday Night edition even if I am away for the night. That being the case, I can't think of a better song to start off with than this wonderful one ...


"I Want Your Love" by Chic from the group's C'est Chic album (1978)

This is an extended version of it. I should note that Lady Gaga provided the lyrics to a remake of it with that was released this year. That version makes a suitably upbeat Saturday night song ...


"I Want Your Love" by Tom Ford featuring Lady Gaga and directed by Nick Knight on the Tom Ford Spring/Summer 2016 Promotional Video

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And let's conclude with another song I've always loved ...


"Ride Like the Wind" by Christopher Cross (with backing vocals by Michael McDonald) from Cross's self-titled album (1980)

Great song.

OK, that's all for now. Please see my previous entry for an update.

--Regulus

Saturday Evening Post for November 26th, 2016: The Birthday and Sunset Edition

**This entry was posted November 26, 2016.**

Sunset as seen from my fifth floor apartment overlooking 16th and U Streets and New Hampshire Ave NW, Washington, D.C., 4:23PM November 24, 2016.

This was on Thanksgiving day just before I headed up to Silver Spring.

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As a brief update ...

Here I am in Millersville (suburban Maryland) in the little back (or front) room of the trailer where live my mom and stepdad. I took the Metro to Union Station with no delays and caught a prompt MARC train to Odenton. From the time I left my apartment to the time my mom picked me up was just a bit over 1 hour, which is quick as far as those things go.

Outside Sunset Restaurant, Glen Burnie, Md., 2:47PM November 26, 2016.

Not sure why I seem to be going with a sunset theme to my 47th birthday, but so it would appear. When I woke up this morning and looked at my alarm clock, it said 9:11AM, so that didn't seem particularly auspicious, either.

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The three of us went to Sunset restaurant in Glen Burnie for a low-key birthday dinner for me. I had not been to The Sunset since, I believe, 1984 when I was 14 years old. We were living on Little Road just off Ritchie Highway and my dad had visited -- not sure why -- and the three of us (that is, my parents and I) went there. (I recall walking across the nighttime deserted parking lot of what was then the Harundale Mall.)

The Sunset also has a special place for my friend BK in NYC -- where we took his parents way back when as a way of introducing them to his future husband. (Of note, Sunset has been there since 1960.)

We were home by breezy, blustery dusk and watched on Netflix the most recent episode of "The Queen." Good show.

Interior, Sunset Restaurant, Glen Burnie, Md., 2:48PM November 26, 2016.

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Speaking of my father, he called tonight and we spoke for just over an hour. This is the first time we've spoken in at least a month. It was fine as those things go, and I'm glad to here how done he seems to be with Shannon. However, I'm still not quite ready to go down there to visit him. I'd prefer if he came up to D.C., but I don't see that happening, either.

For tomorrow, I'm heading back to D.C. early/mid afternoon, although we'll all go to lunch first. Actually, my mother goes to a church around here and is supposed to be there at 9AM tomorrow. Speaking of church, or rather, the Church, read this New York Times op-ed by Ross Douthat: His Holiness Declines to Answer.

I didn't know all the business was going down inside the Vatican. I mean, I knew this wonderful Pope had enemies in the Church and that there is no end of intrigue inside the Curia, but what these four archbishops are trying to do is rather blatant.

Another view inside Sunset Restaurant, Glen Burnie, Md., 2:54PM November 26, 2016.

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OK, that's all for now. I'm actually going to bed in a bit. That's what you do in the suburbs by the midnight hour, if not earlier.

My next planned entry will be late Monday or early Tuesday. Jukebox Saturday Night edition to follow in a few minutes.

--Regulus

If It's November 26th, It Must Be My Birthday -OR- 47 and Counting

**This entry was posted November 26, 2016.**

Sunset at Fort Smallwood Park along the Chesapeake Bay in Anne Arundel Co., Md., Nov. 22, 2016; Photo by Flickr user By The Bay Photos and reposted in this CWG entry.

Hopefully, we should get some rain this coming week.

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My birthday. 47 years old today.

For purposes of this blog, that just means editing the "About Me" part -- as in, increasing my age by one. (I always have difficulty finding that particular setting where that text resides since it is buried rather deeply.)

I don't really have any time to post an entry this morning as I need to get ready and get over to Union Station in order to catch a MARC train to suburban Maryland (Odenton) to meet my mom.


I had originally planned to go on Friday (yesterday), but I had too much too do both in terms of Saturday chores/tasks that I moved up a day (going to the gym and laundry) and for work (a lengthy annual employee self-appraisal). As a result, I moved the visit to today. I'm only staying for one night.

The plan is to go to a restaurant today. Owing to Ray's poor health, we really can't go far -- so no Docs Riverside Grill in Centreville (on the Eastern Shore) or even the Rusty Scupper in Baltimore but instead, to Glen Burnie's finest, Sunset.

Yours truly at Logan Tavern, Washington, D.C., 10:52PM November 25, 2016.

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I had a very nice Thanksgiving at Quill's parents' house in Silver Spring. Last night was mixed in that I went to dinner at Logan Tavern but had kind of crap service seated at the bar, but then I went to Stoney's where Howie was working and he regaled with some funny family stories.

Thereafter, I walked home but detoured to JoJo on U Street, where I stood and then sat at the bar and listened to a live jazz band playing while having a few more drinks.

Lastly, I should mention that in the past 48 hours both Florence Henderson -- "Carol Brady" of The Brady Bunch -- and Fidel Castro both died, ages 82 and 90, respectively. What an odd combination.

Anyway, that's all for now. I intend to post an entry this evening from Millersville.

--Regulus

Thursday, November 24, 2016

Thanksgiving 2016: Freedom from Want, but Not from Trump and GOP One-Party Rule; Recap of a Nice Night at Joe's Restaurant

Thanks to Aydin for sending me this.

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Thanksgiving. 2016.

"Freedom from Want" by Norman Rockwell, 1943.

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Thanksgiving is such an odd and oddly demanding holiday -- and certainly the biggest of all secular American holidays and with its weirdly obsessive expectation of being with family and focus on gluttony via a particular type of feast. (And then the "Black Friday" often dangerous nonsense that follows it.)

As it is, I don't even like turkey -- as a food, that is. As an animal, the turkey is an incredibly stupid creature. (Well, perhaps not the dumbest.)

They're also, by and large, treated like shit (basically tortured) by humans -- as are cows, pigs, and chickens -- when being raised for food, although there are signs of change.

Anyway, I don't have a lot of time this afternoon as I need to get ready and get to Quill's parents' house in residential Silver Spring for a dinner that includes the standard Thanksgiving fare -- and that avoids political talk and features a lot of good wine and bad puns.

Tomorrow, I'm taking the train (probably an Amtrak since I don't think MARCs run on the day after Thanksgiving) up to Anne Arundel County to visit my mom for the weekend and return on Sunday. I'm going to try to get to the gym late morning / early afternoon, though.

I have to finish a work-related performance evaluation by Monday morning and this is going to take at least a few hours -- time I need to find.

Ha ha

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I only just got up because I was quite imbibed last night. Andrea and I were going to go to Old Ebbitt Grill, but the way through Lafayette Park (from McPherson Metro) was closed -- the uniformed Secret Service getting to play their favorite role of militarized armed forces, something that will be happening a lot in the Trump Era, I suspect) -- we detoured to 15th Street.

Joe's Restaurant, Washington, D.C.

This picture and some of those below are taken from online sources since the ones I took at the restaurant last night were of the usual flip-open cellphone crappy quality. I think it's obvious which are which even without the captions.

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In so doing, we went past Joe's -- a curious restaurant housed in a stately building that is nearly concealed given its very subdued entrance: Just a sign with a old incandescent light shining upon it that reads: Joe's Seafood, Prime Steak & Stone Crab. There are two doors perpendicular to each other -- one on H Street and the other on 15th Street -- with frosted glass so you can't see inside.

As context, I had noticed the place last Saturday night on my way to Old Ebbitt and remarked to Andrea that I would like to try it sometime. She suggested we try it right now for a drink and we entered.

The place is HUGE (as in cavernous) and opulent in a dimly lit, old-school way. There is a front bar where we sat for a good hour and half and a smaller bar in the large dining room where we went as a sort of second stop. The place was surprisingly busy but not noisy. The wait staff and bartenders were attired very nicely with bow ties to complete the ensemble.

Above the main bar is a enormously enlarged picture of the original Joe Weiss and his wife, Jennie, standing in front of the original restaurant that was opened in 1913 in Miami Beach (but that no longer exists).

Joe's Restaurant, front bar, 5:49PM November 23, 2016.

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Apparently, the Weiss family in partnership with an outfit called Lettuce Entertain You Enterprises (yes) still own and run this Joe's and two others -- one in Chicago and another in Las Vegas. (I think Joe's was actually mentioned in an episode of The Golden Girls once by Blanche.)

Joe's Restaurant looking down on the main bar area, Washington, D.C., 7:28PM November 23, 2016.

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The place has a great happy hour menu (food and drink) that runs for quite a long time daily. It's definitely a dark liquor kind of place rather than vodka.

The main dining room bar of Joe's Restaurant, Washington, D.C.

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Upstairs, there are other dining rooms for rent that are named for members of the family including a "Gigi." While taking a photo up there, I got the attention of a young manager, Travis, with whom I had a conversation (although I was already three Manhattans in at that point).

An upstairs dining rooms at Joe's, Washington, D.C., 7:31PM November 23, 2016.

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Andrea and I also had probably one of our best political conversations -- getting into some profound topics about our own perspectives as part of the "liberal elite" living here in the Capital of the Empire at the start of the era of Trump/GOP one-party rule.


Speaking of things political, there is a growing push for a recount in three states that tipped the Electoral College to Trump -- Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan -- with fears of malware in optical scan voting machines or other cyber-attacks (including by the Russian government).

The original story for why this came about is available here. I should note that Nate Cohn of the New York Times quickly debunked the idea to his satisfaction.


It isn't clear if Hillary will press for that and, honestly, I don't think she should. (Jill Stein is pushing for it, though.) My own feeling is that we have entered this era and it is our destiny (if I can use that term) to go through it no matter what happens or the eventual outcome. Besides, even in the miniscule chance it would change the outcome, it would also probably create an even more toxic and destructive political environment than we already have.

In terms of the popular vote, Hillary is now over 2 million votes ahead -- 64.4 million to 62.3 million -- but that doesn't matter thanks to the absurd construct of the Electoral College, but I'm not going to get into that now. It's no more than a hundred thousand votes in those three states combined that made the difference (see below):

From the Cook Report: U.S. Presidential vote totals nationally and for 13 swing states as of this afternoon (Nov. 24, 2016); Click on image for larger version; Source here.

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Anyway, returning to last night, Andrea and I then walked to Baan Thai where Tommy (the owner) was working the back bar. Things got fuzzy at that point, although Andrea actually stopped by my apartment and set up a digital antenna that she bought me about a year and a half ago and when I woke up -- I fell asleep while she did that -- she had left but the TV was on for the first time in my apartment since Nov. 2014.

OK, I think that's all for now. My next planned posting will likely be Friday night.

--Regulus

Wednesday, November 23, 2016

Mentally Equilibrating My Political-Themed Blog Entries in the Age of Trump/GOP One-Party Rule

Brightly autumnal yellow-hued ginkgo trees on a side street somewhere around Dupont / Logan Circles, Washington, D.C., November 2016; Photo by Nathan Stewart and featured in this CWG entry.

Hopefully these are the males of this unusual tree species, otherwise that street stinks.

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Despite my earlier plan, I've decided that I need to refrain from daily political-themed entries in the Age of Trump. It's going to be four (or eight or however many) years of a non-stop whirlwind of daily drama, chaos, and aggravation (to say nothing of whatever ghastly laws and policies are enacted in our one-party rule nation*), not to mention the fact that I simply can't start political-themed entries at midnight when I have to go to work the next day.

*It matters not that Hillary's national vote lead is now over 1.7 million and likely to exceed 2 million, but thanks to the Electoral College -- a late 18th Century artifact designed for the sake of fucking Southern slave states -- that is meaningless.

Donald Trump and New York Times publisher Arthur Sulzberger Jr. at the New York Times on-the-record meeting, Nov. 22, 2016.

It was an interesting meeting -- and a lot better than that shit-show of one with the TV execs and celebrity media types the previous day. I guess he can talk to various audiences as needed.

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I'll try to post a longer entry on this -- I already have one under development but it would take too long to get enough images and do all the formatting, etc.

That being the case, I'm not going to try to post anything substantial or substantive tonight.

Donald Trump after his interesting meeting with New York Times editors and reporters today -- one in which he was scarily reasonable and almost normal.

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As for my day, I went to the gym after work (second night in a row), and now I'm home getting ready for bed. Tomorrow -- Thanksgiving Eve, as it were -- is a non-gym night after work and I might meet up with Andrea to go to Old Ebbitt, although unsure at this point. Alternatively, I might meet up with Fred.

As I mentioned in earlier entries, I'm going to Quill's parents' house in Silver Spring on Thursday for Thanksgiving and then visiting my mom Friday evening to Sunday afternoon before returning and will be there on Saturday (my birthday ...sigh).

OK, that's all for now. I'll try to post an entry Thursday early afternoon.

--Regulus

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

Winter Winds of This November: The First Blast of Winter -- and Trump's Autocracy -- Arrive; Reposted in Full: CWG Entry on the Ever-More-Lopsided Ratio of Record High-to-Low Temps

Windy, blustery fall day, 2000 block New Hampshire Ave, Washington, D.C., 2:35PM November 20, 2016.

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I was going to post another entry tonight that includes an update and some political commentary about the latest Trump garbage, but instead I would like to repost an entry written by Jason Samenow that appeared on the Capital Weather Gang earlier yesterday (Monday).

As context, the first real blast of winter-like weather slammed into the region Saturday afternoon and yesterday was a windy, blustery day with highs of only 47F at KDCA, 46F at KBWI, and 45F at KIAD and, oddly enough, also KDMH.

Morning lows for Nov. 21st did not go below freezing except at KIAD (where the morning low reached 32F) if only because of the frequent, gusty wind.

Windy, blustery fall day, 1900 block New Hampshire Ave, Washington, D.C., 2:39PM November 20, 2016.

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Today -- that is, Monday -- was another blustery, chilly day with a persistent northwesterly breeze -- sometimes gusty -- and highs in the 40s F including 47F at KCDA, 44F at KBWI and KDMH, and 43F at KIAD. Tonight remains on the breezy side with northwesterly winds occasionally gusting to 25MPH. KBWI is already down to 32F at the 11PM hour while KIAD is 34F and KDCA is at 37F.

Blustery fall day with fast-moving stratocumulus clouds riding the surging northwesterly wind as seen from S and 17th Streets NW, Washington, D.C., 2:43PM Nov. 20, 2016.

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KDCA might finally have its first "official" freeze by tomorrow morning if the winds subside but that is always such a tall order at frickin' National Airport. More importantly, there might be a bit of much-needed rain late Wednesday into Thanksgiving.

Oh, yes, the blast of modified Arctic air brought the first round of heavy lake effect and mountain snows in all the usual places on the downwind side of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario and the Appalachians from West Virginia up to New England.

By way of my friend Kevin here in D.C.:

Morning snowy scene somewhere in the Finger Lakes Region not far from Rochester, N.Y., November 21, 2016; One of Kevin's friends took his picture.

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The CWG had the following entry about it (link embedded): A blizzard in West Virginia and 2 feet of snow in New York -- winter is here, apparently.

It included this image from a small town in Oswego County, N.Y.:

Carolyn Yerdon poses for a picture in the first blizzard of the season -- totaling a reported 32 inches of snow -- in Redfield, N.Y., November 21, 2016; This picture was posted on her Twitter account and reposted in the above-linked CWG entry.

This is already likely double - and, potentially, ten to twenty times -- what D.C. will get all winter.

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Having written all of this, I'd now like to repost that CWG that I referenced at the top of this entry. It is reposted in full below along with the link. (If you go to the source link, just ignore the comment section -- there are actually only 11 comments, the bulk of them by a couple climate-denying dead-enders.)

Blustery evening looking along the 1400 block of P Street, NW, Washington, D.C., 5:09PM November 20, 2016.

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It's worth noting that these kinds of articles hardly get the mouth-foamingly rabid rightwing response that they used to because the evidence of climate change -- as in, anthropogenic global warming -- is simply too overwhelming. In the reposting below, tweaked the image captions where I thought necessary for clarity.

Before I conclude this entry, though, as a very brief update, on Sunday, I didn't do much of anything except meet Kevin and Delaney at Pearl Dive, where we had a really nice time -- albeit the political talk was deeply depressing. Delaney is an incredibly smart person with a real wisdom well beyond her years (which are significantly fewer than yours truly's).

Later, I went to Trade where I had a couple more drinks before walking home. I actually got home around 730PM and it was so dark and blustery -- and I was in a crap frame of mind at that point -- so I just went to bed and slept for most of the next 12 hours.

Blustery fall evening at the intersection of P and 14th Streets NW, Washington, D.C., 5:09PM Nov. 20, 2016.

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For today (Monday), I had a productive day at work and then went to the gym tonight where I had a good jog and core workout but ran out of time for weight-lifting and instead went into the pool. I'm planning on going to the gym again tomorrow night owing to the Thanksgiving holiday (and my own financial situation until I get paid later this week).

I intend to post a blog entry tomorrow night (on the original topic I had intended). As a teaser, though, here are some Erik Wemple tweets that are worth posting:


For context, see this article.

What a bunch of fucking idiots to go to that kind of meeting. (Why wasn't Anderson Cooper there? Or was he?) I guess there is some poetic justice, though: Trump's very media-whore enablers are now his first victims. I see multiple catastrophes ahead and a society whose broken institutions and systems cannot stop it.

--Regulus

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U.S. record heat poised to outpace record cold by factor of 15 late this century

Source here.
By Jason Samenow
Nov. 21, 2016

GFS simulation of a sprawling high pressure dome across the southwestern United States centered on the Four Corners region, June 2016. This image shows color-coded 500-mb geopotential height contours (in decameters) along with wind barbs.

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It is a telltale sign of the warming climate in the Lower 48: Record high temperatures are set with ease and regularity while record lows are increasingly uncommon.

This balance between record highs and lows is forecast to become even more lopsided in coming decades due to predicted climate warming, according to a new study.

Heat records could outnumber cold records by a factor of 15 (plus or minus 8) later this century, according to the study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

"More and more frequently, climate change will affect Americans with record-setting heat," said Gerald Meehl, of the National Center for Atmospheric Research and study lead author. Record-setting cold won't altogether disappear, but will become rare, he said.

The growing disparity between record warmth and record cold will be pushed along by a steady rise in the average temperature over the Lower 48. The temperature in the Lower 48 is projected to warm about 5.4 degrees (3 Celsius) by 2065, assuming emissions of heat-trapping gases from human activity continue at the current pace.

"An increase in average temperatures of a few degrees may not seem like much," Meehl said, "but it correlates with a noticeable increase in days that are hotter than any in the record, and nights that will remain warmer than we’ve ever experienced in the past."

The amount of warming will determine just how disproportionate the record heat is. If the climate warms 7.2 degrees (4 Celsius), 38 times as many record highs as record lows would be expected, Meehl said. But if warming is limited to 3.6 degrees (2 Celsius), record highs would outpace lows by a much lower factor of about 5.5 (range of 3 to 8).

"Every degree of warming makes a substantial amount of difference," Meehl said.

Meehl's latest work, with co-authors Claudia Tebaldi and Dennis Adams-Smith, builds on a study he published (with colleagues) in 2009. It found that, since 2000, about twice as many record highs as record lows had occurred in the continental U.S.

The caption to this image is self-explanatory; Click on it for larger version.

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If the climate was not changing, roughly an equal number of record highs and lows would have been expected.

The 2009 study also projected the number of record highs and lows into the future. But it found the underlying model was predicting too many record highs compared to reality. So the new study investigated the reasons the earlier model erred to make a more reliable forecast, more consistent with observations.

Since Meehl's 2009 study, record highs have continued to greatly outnumber record lows but with considerable year-to-year fluctuation. For example, the ratio was about 5:1 in 2012, the warmest year on record in the U.S., but about 1:1 in 2013 and 2014, when the polar vortex was disrupted and frigid air gripped large portions of the nation. This year, the nation has witnessed five to six times as many record highs as record lows.

A disproportionate number of record highs has also been seen in individual cities. In Washington, for example, record highs have outpaced lows by an 8 to 1 ratio since 2000, and more than 16 to 1 since 2010.


Ratio of warmth records to cold records by decade for Washington, D.C., from the 1870s to the 2010s (to date); Source: Justin Grieser, CWG.

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(The increase in record highs in Washington may, in part, be due to urbanization around the observing site. Meehl said in an interview that, for his study, he relied on data sets for which methods were developed to correct for urbanization.)

In other parts of the world, the ratio of record highs to record lows has also become increasingly skewed. In Australia, warm records outnumbered cold records by more than 12 to 1 from 2000 to 2014, according to a study published last year.


"These changes pose adaptation challenges to both human and natural systems," said Tebaldi, also at the National Center for Atmospheric Research. "Only a substantial mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions may stop this increase, or at least slow down its pace."

Saturday, November 19, 2016

Jukebox Saturday Night for Nov. 19th, 2016: The Good Listening with Euge, Lester & Gwen Edition


"Track 01" by Euge Groove from his S7ven Large album (2011)

I never tire of Euge Groove's music. He's originally from Maryland, you know -- Hagerstown. His birthday is one day after mine on Nov. 27th, although he will be 54 while I'll be 47. His actual name is Steven Eugene Groove. I wonder if his name led him in any way onto the path that he followed as a jazz saxophonist.

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Next up, a great jazz standard ...


"On the Sunny Side of the Street" as performed by Lester Young and the Oscar Peterson Trio in the album called, appropriately enough, Lester Young with the Oscar Peterson Trio (1954)

This song was written in 1930, specifically, music by Jimmy McHugh and lyrics by Dorothy Fields, although the Keeper of All Knowledge indicates that Fats Waller himself may have written it but sold the song to them for money.

It became a jazz standard with numerous artists having recorded it.

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Finally, here is a new song from Gwen Stefani that I came across just this past Monday and really like it -- including the lyrics, melody, and the video. It's appropriately upbeat to conclude this edition of Jukebox Saturday Night...


"Make Me Like You" by Gwen Stefani from her release This is What the Truth Feels Like (2016)

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OK, that's all for now. Please see my previous entry for, among other things, a brief update.

--Regulus

Saturday Evening Post for November 19th, 2016: The Fall Weather Tries to Arrive Edition

**This entry was posted November 19th, 2016.**

Gusty winds, 2000 block New Hampshire Ave NW, Washington, D.C., 3:13PM November 19, 2016.

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Saturday night.

I had a good, multi-part gym workout late this afternoon into early evening before coming home and doing my usual Saturday night four loads of laundry -- whites, colors, and bedding (two quilts each week cycling through the four quilts and blanket on the bed), not to mention the bed sheet and pillow cases.

Of course, I don't actually have a bed but just sleep on the floor amid all those quilts and pillows and stuffed animals (hippos, monkeys, and whatnot).

Fall day, 1400 block W Street NW, Washington, D.C., 3:16PM November 19, 2016.

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Last night, I left work around 815PM and took the Metro to Metro Center, where I got off and walked to Pennsylvania 6 restaurant on I Street across from the city block-wide, tree-cloaked park known as Franklin Square that is home to literally dozens of the homelessly insane. (Like most American cities, D.C.'s homeless population is seemingly infinite.)

As for Pennsylvania 6, it is a nice restaurant albeit most of the items are quite expensive. I sat at the bar and had some dinner (a rather good trout sandwich and broccolini as a substitute for duck fries) and a couple drinks (two old fashioned drinks).

The bar at Pennsylvania 6 as taken from the photo gallery page of the restaurant's website.

I took a picture while there, but it came out so blurry-crummy that I'm not even going to bother to post it.

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I called my mom, as arranged, and we had a good conversation about a variety of things including plans for next weekend. My plan is to visit her on Friday and return Sunday. For Thanksgiving, I'm planning on going to Quill's parents' house in Silver Spring.

Thereafter, I walked toward Logan Circle, stopping at Baan Thai for a drink at the back bar and then going first to No. 9 and then to Trade. And then back to No. 9 before taking a cab the short distance home (I just didn't feel like walking).

I didn't get up until about 2PM but, as mentioned, made it to the gym.

Turning to the weather ...

Portion of the NWS high-resolution surface weather map for the United States, 0Z November 20, 2016.

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As the weather map above shows, a strong cold front blasted across the region this afternoon -- indeed, across the entire Eastern Seaboard -- with temperature drops of 25F to 30F over several hours. Of course, all this did was end the seemingly never-ending way above normal temperatures. Highs before the frontal passage were 72F at both KDCA and KBWI and 70F at KIAD.

NWS advisories for the United States updated 0254UTC November 20, 2016.

This doesn't include the legend but the dark (navy) blues are freeze warnings and the cyan blues are frost advisories -- about the only time the goddamn South ever will be blue -- but also mixed with the deep pink red flag warnings.

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Sterling NWS county warning area (CWA) advisories updated 9:08PM EST November 19, 2016.

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Winds gusted to as high as 40MPH for a while and are still occasionally surging as I can hear through my open apartment window somewhere here in Washington, D.C. The trees start rustling and sshhhh'ing fall leaves fly wildly through the air, often getting caught up in little vortices before settling down.

There was a bit of much-needed rainfall with the frontal passage -- but with "bit" being the operative word. The following amounts were recorded at the four main NWS climate stations:

KDCA: 0.05"
KIAD: 0.02"
KDMH: 0.01"
KBWI: Trace

Of note, Dulles Airport actually recorded some sleet at one point, so it goes into the record books as "trace" snowfall for this day.

For tomorrow, it is forecasted to be a blustery, windy day with temperatures not reaching 50F even here in D.C. There is actually a wind advisory in effect for tomorrow.

Looking ahead, there is another chance of rain on Thanksgiving and then again next weekend as the pattern begins to turn more favorable for actual "weather". As it is, we're done nearly 7 inches on precipitation year-to-date at about 28-1/2 inches at KDCA. (I'll post more detailed numbers in an upcoming entry.)

For tonight, I really don't plan to do much of anything. I guess I'll head over to the usual two places (No. 9 and Trade) but because I spent so much last night, I really have to reign in expenditures tonight. Thus, no Old Ebbitt Grill or Logan Tavern or anything like that.

I was going to delve into some political commentary in this entry -- to discuss the latest developments in the coming quasi-fascist Donald Trump kleptocracy enabled by wall-to-wall radical Republican one-party rule, but what's the goddamn point?


I've decided not to relate everything that the Great Orange Hate, also known as President-Elect "You're Fired!" Pussy-Grabber, does in the coming months and -- following his coronation -- years. It's too overwhelming.

Today's issue was Trump throwing a temper tantrum because the cast of "Hamilton" on Broadway in New York read a message to Vice President-Elect Mike Pence -- a truly scary man -- upon the occasion of his attending a performance of that wildly popular play. The audience also booed Pence loudly.

Trump -- the thinnest-skinned, lowest-attention-spanned would-be dictator you'll ever met -- shit a brick on Twitter, his favorite medium for fouling the Universe.

I would like to call attention to a Thursday piece in Salon by Heather Digby Parton in which she discusses the ugly "sore winner" attitude -- mixed with reports of violent actions -- by Trump supporters. The Abraham Lincoln quote about "What will it take to satisfy them?" is so spot on.


Escalators at the Bethesda Metro station, Bethesda, Md., 6:47PM November 13, 2016.

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OK, that's all for now. My next planned entry will be late Monday/early Tuesday.

Jukebox Saturday Night entry to follow momentarily (as I already composed it)...

--Regulus