Wednesday, November 4, 2015

Falling Through This November: Weather Talk and Other Updates

Fall splendor on a wooded trail in or somewhere near Washington, D.C., Nov. 3, 2015.

This picture was taken by an Instagram user named Betsy and a handle @btransatlantic, and it appeared on the Capital Weather Gang's twitter feed here. It was taken yesterday (Nov. 3rd), but the location is not identified, so I have it labeled as somewhere in the D.C. area (which it is). If it is in D.C. proper, then it is almost certainly in Rock Creek Park.

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This is a morning update as I didn't get a chance to post an entry last night.

For starters, Today is Nov. 4th. My late and much missed paternal grandmother was born on this day in 1908, so today is her 107th birthday.

My paternal grandparents, Lewis and Florence Todaro, Long Branch, N.J., in a photo taken circa 1985.

Happy Birthday, Grandma. You're always with me.

(Her husband, my late paternal grandfather, was born 6 days later on Nov. 10, 1908.)

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A sunny fall day, 2000 block of New Hampshire Ave. NW, Washington, D.C., 9:50AM Nov. 4, 2015.

This tree grows next to the Brittany across the street from my apartment building.

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The weather is just awful today: Wall-to-wall sunshine with not a single frickin' cloud in the sky and temperatures surging into the mid-70s Fahrenheit across the Baltimore / Washington corridor. It's not that I mind sunny, warm days in fall, but that is all we are getting, and I want some cool, wet, gloomy weather.

It makes fall perfect.

There is a practically nothing chance (40 POP but I'm going to call bullsh!t on it) of rain showers late night into tomorrow associated with a weak front but then it will warm right back up to near 80F by Friday. It should cool down to more seasonal temps by the weekend, but there really is no chance of any meaningful cool, wet weather "UFN" (until further notice).

The Sterling (LWX) discussion notes the following daily record highs for Nov. 6th, 2015, all of which are reachable.

KDCA: 78F IN 1948
KBWI: 77F IN 2005
KIAD: 78F IN 1994

A sunny, fall day, 2000 block of New Hampshire Ave NW, Washington, D.C., 9:51AM Nov. 4, 2015.

This is outside my apartment building. I had to go out the front door rather than the back door because the back stairwell was being painted.

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Last night, I met up with Nick after work at Elephant & Castle on Pennsylvania Avenue. It was too crowded and noisy, if only because it is trivia night. (I hate bar trivia nights. As I heard on a British show once (and I'm paraphrasing), they celebrate "Random factoid knowledge divorced from any context or learning ...")

We then went to Harry's Pub where we had a rather nice time.

I then walked back toward home, stopping at No. 9 for about 45 minutes and then at Bua, where I had some dinner at the little downstairs bar. I was the only one there -- it was about to close -- and I was able to get the guy to turn down the TV (true, it was only tuned to the Food Network, but even there, Guy Ferrari is likely to appear at any second and it becomes something unwatchable, a sort of Fox News approach to American cuisine, itself a deeply problematic concept).

Gary joined me for a few minutes as he was on his way to Larry's Lounge. He kindly drove me the rest of the way home and I went to sleep, though not before watching the full 13-minute video in this Capital Weather Gang entry (link embedded): Video: Inside the core of Patricia, the strongest recorded hurricane to strike Mexico's west coast.

Frame grab of a video taken in Emiliano Zapata, Mexico showing the sky inside the eye-wall of Hurricane Patricia, 6:12PM CDT Oct. 23, 2015.

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The entry features a video taken by Josh Morgerman, an extreme storm chaser from Los Angeles, and his friend as they position themselves along the Pacific coast of Mexico in the seaside village of Emiliano Zapata as Hurricane Patricia comes ashore in full category 5 ferocity. They eventually take shelter inside a bathroom with a terrified family as the worst of the storm hits.

Frame grab of a video taken during the height of Hurricane Patricia's intensity, Emiliano Zapata, Mexico, 6:15PM CDT Oct. 23, 2015.

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The actual worst part appears to come from the back side of the eye-wall after the eye passes overhead. It doesn't get clear but there is a surreal and vaguely terrifying moment when you see the a peak of the Sun before the hurricane returns in its full violence (see two images above).

Frame grab of a video taken during the height of Hurricane Patricia's intensity, Emiliano Zapata, Mexico, 6:17PM CDT Oct. 23, 2015.

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In the end, everyone in the video is, thankfully, fine. Indeed, that was the big, happy story of Hurricane Patricia: How few people actually died.

As for Cyclone Chapala, here is a CWG entry about its effects. News from the affected region is, not surprisingly, sketchy: Historic Cyclone Chapala ravages coastal Yemen with catastrophic flash flooding.

A tweet from 11:43PM (unsure time zone) Nov. 2, 2015 by Saeed Al-Batati showing catastrophic flooding in Mukalla, Yemen from Cyclone Chapala. This tweet image appeared in the above-linked CWG entry.

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OK, I need to wrap up this entry.

Tonight after work is a gym night. I intend to update the blog with a more complete entry including links to and excerpts of pieces by Krugman, Chait, and Plait


OK, that's all for now.

--Regulus

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